23% seems like a frighteningly large gateway to me. Different perspectives, I guess.
It's less than a one in four. And that's combining all of the harder drugs together, and just using government estimates of numbers.
If the "gateway" drug proponents would use those numbers then fair enough, but the numbers they cite are "95% of heroin addicts used pot before they tried heroin." And the reason they use those numbers is simple, because 95% is a big scary number. If they said the reverse fact, that there are roughly 213K monthly heroin users and 16.7 million monthly pot smokers, therefore 1.2% of all pot smokers go on to become heroin users, I doubt it would strike the same fear into people's hearts as the opposite claim does. 1% isn't all that much. The 23% number I cited includes heroin, meth, and cocaine with cocaine making up the bulk of the number (something like 2 million of the 3-4 million, though if I did the math the number is closer to 3 which therefore reduces the gateway to about 18%...when I made the post I was going off the numbers the last time I had an argument about the gateway theory, which IMO the math proves is not there).
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