2024-2025 Tank Race

[Thee Idiotic Minivan K]

This season truly starts for us at the draft lottery. Lol, the day we can finally root for a win.

 

[NUMBERICA]

Eyes on the prize, everyone: we gotta lose every game besides winning both Timberwolves games to pull them into the 9th seed.

 

[infection]

Eyes on the prize, everyone: we gotta lose every game besides winning both Timberwolves games to pull them into the 9th seed.

Our pick is going to drop farther from its position because the Wolves pick will jump us.

 

[SoberasHotRod]

The worst team in the league should win the lottery on average once every 7 years, same for the second and third worst teams. One of the bottom 3 teams should win the lottery on average every other year to every 3 years.

This will be the 7th year since the flattened odds and so far the worst team has not won it, ever. The second worst team has won the lottery 3 times already and once a team tied for the 2nd/3rd worst record won it. There have only been two non bottom 3 teams to win, #10 last year and the Pelicans who were in a 3 way tie for 7,8,9.

You might say that the worst team is due to win, but also teams 4-6 have never won even though they should win once every 3 years. The second worst team could not win again for 20 years and still maintain expected odds.

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

We should win cuz if we don’t I’m sad.

 

[NUMBERICA]

The worst team in the league should win the lottery on average once every 7 years, same for the second and third worst teams. One of the bottom 3 teams should win the lottery on average every other year to every 3 years.

This will be the 7th year since the flattened odds and so far the worst team has not won it, ever. The second worst team has won the lottery 3 times already and once a team tied for the 2nd/3rd worst record won it. There have only been two non bottom 3 teams to win, #10 last year and the Pelicans who were in a 3 way tie for 7,8,9.

You might say that the worst team is due to win, but also teams 4-6 have never won even though they should win once every 3 years. The second worst team could not win again for 20 years and still maintain expected odds.

This is exactly what I’m talking about. Thanks for doing the research.

 

[fishonjazz]

Would be very content with 2. LFG Hornets and Pelicans.

(It also seems like teams with the worst record get smitten by the basketball gods)

I will be ecstatic. I thought there was no chance for us to get 2

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[fishonjazz]

The worst team in the league should win the lottery on average once every 7 years, same for the second and third worst teams. One of the bottom 3 teams should win the lottery on average every other year to every 3 years.

This will be the 7th year since the flattened odds and so far the worst team has not won it, ever. The second worst team has won the lottery 3 times already and once a team tied for the 2nd/3rd worst record won it. There have only been two non bottom 3 teams to win, #10 last year and the Pelicans who were in a 3 way tie for 7,8,9.

You might say that the worst team is due to win, but also teams 4-6 have never won even though they should win once every 3 years. The second worst team could not win again for 20 years and still maintain expected odds.

What spot were the spurs when they got wemby? I thought it was 5th

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[Elizah Huge]

If we are picking any lower than 4 after the draft lottery I will legit be sad.

 

[Losing Interest]

The Jazz already won... They were the 1st team to be eliminated from the playoffs. Jazz fans better be prepared for a pick outside of the top 3.

 

[SoberasHotRod]

What spot were the spurs when they got wemby? I thought it was 5th

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Tied for 2nd/3rd

 

[Bawse Dawg]

If we are picking any lower than 1 after the draft lottery I will legit be sad.

Same

 

[infection]

If we are picking any lower than 4 after the draft lottery I will legit be sad.

And still a 47.9% chance of that happening, as presently constituted.

 

[NUMBERICA]

What spot were the spurs when they got wemby? I thought it was 5th

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Tied for 2nd/3rd with Houston (who got the 4th pick).

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

And still a 47.9% chance of that happening, as presently constituted.

There is 100% chance of me putting a hole in the wall with my head. Either because I am jacked and pumped or angry and violent.

 

[KqWIN]

The worst team in the league should win the lottery on average once every 7 years, same for the second and third worst teams. One of the bottom 3 teams should win the lottery on average every other year to every 3 years.

This will be the 7th year since the flattened odds and so far the worst team has not won it, ever. The second worst team has won the lottery 3 times already and once a team tied for the 2nd/3rd worst record won it. There have only been two non bottom 3 teams to win, #10 last year and the Pelicans who were in a 3 way tie for 7,8,9.

You might say that the worst team is due to win, but also teams 4-6 have never won even though they should win once every 3 years. The second worst team could not win again for 20 years and still maintain expected odds.

The lottery would be so much better if there was some kind of roll over odds from previous years. It would even out the luck and work against acute tanking efforts.

 

[default]

At least if we ended the season with the worst record we would be guaranteed a top 5 pick after the lottery.

 

[SoberasHotRod]

I understand that each draft is an independent event, but if I had to bet I would say that the number one pick will go to the 1st, 4th, 5th, or 6th worst teams. The combined odds for those teams to win it is almost 50%, but none of those records have won in the 6 year history.

 

[infection]

There is 100% chance of me putting a hole in the wall with my head. Either because I am jacked and pumped or angry and violent.

And between which two picks is that threshold? 3 & 4?

 

[fishonjazz]

If we are picking any lower than 4 after the draft lottery I will legit be sad.

**** ya I will be sad with that outcome