When I was at Ocean Grove on April 25 you can park right up to the boardwalk - there weren't any cones blocking the spots. We got there early and walked the beach for about an hour, when we walked back to the boardwalk there were hundreds of people. So we spent the rest of our time there in the car. I figured this would be the last time we'll be there for a while so not a surprise by the picture you took.
I've been staying away from the politics and instead listening almost exclusively to folks who have been studying stuff like this for years like Michael Osterholm and Ashish Jha and I'm not optimistic. I don't think we're going to see any football or basketball for the rest of the year at a minimum. When you think of outbreaks of staff infections and mersa spreading in football locker rooms - just think what this will do. One positive test will shut down the entire league. No one is going to invest the time and money to sustain a league with that small a margin of error.
Bro I’ve been saying this for over a month. It’s just common sense. There are about 300 guys in the NBA who play regularly. If just one of them has it, he’s easily spreading it to 3-4 guys in a game (I’m being generous—it’s probably more like double or triple that)...let’s assume those guys then spread it to the same amount of players their next game, let’s say two nights later. The league will have gone from 1 player to a minimum of 13 players having it within two days. And that’s being ultraconservative. It’s really probably more like 50 guys. Basically almost entire teams. They’re constantly touching, swatting, breathing heavily on one another. It makes no sense.
In golf, tennis, darts, etcetera, yeah sure, maybe. But football, basketball, hockey, and maybe even baseball make no sense. Same thing with schools. It’s retarded if we go back in the fall. The only way I would do it, and I mean only way, is if:
1. Students who’ve performed to a certain consistent academic level since we went out on March 16 can continue remotely in the fall. In my district, that probably accounts for about 30% of our students. So in a class of 25 kids on average, 7 of them could remain home in the fall and learn remotely.
2. The remaining 18 could come in on split schedules, 9 in the morning, 9 in the afternoon.
But even then, there are just waaaaaaaay too many issues with it. First, how do we know all students entering are Covid clear? And staff members as well. Additionally, do we really expect to suddenly get that many test kits...for people not showing symptoms? I’ve heard rumors of a certain district by mine and candrews who wants their teachers to test for antibodies. But ignoring HIPAA law for a sec, even if every teacher agreed to have that test done (they wouldn’t), does that prove anything? Does that ensure safety for said teachers? According to the CDC, it doesn’t. And even if we still got through all those issues somehow, and school starts, then what? Kids taking masks off by accident. Taking them off at lunch to eat, in fairly close proximity to one another. Touching desks, door knobs, going to the bathroom, touching faucet knobs, handrails in the stairs. How would changing classes work? Kids walk six feet apart? It’ll take ten minutes just to get to the next class. And even if we still somehow organized all that in a way that makes sense, who’s to say one of us, staff or student, doesn’t contract the virus from someone at home, bring it to school and spread it? Oh yeah, if we even got everything as organized as some Nazi death camp, guess what. Many old teachers would use all their sick days. No subs would want to come in. There is no way schools would get enough subs to run ****. Maybe I’m wrong and many who’ve been laid off would do it, but I’m not so confident.
There are just way too many negative variables at play for it to make much sense. My high school has a laptop for every kid. The middle schools pretty much do. Just use more Abbott money to buy more and have remote learning all of next school year. Or in the fall at a minimum.