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Does Lauri Get Traded?

Does Lauri Get Dealt Before The Season Starts?

  • Total voters
    134
  • Poll closed .
fishonjazz said:
Tell Kessler to pretend to be dirk on offense and have him guard Kyrie on the perimeter on defense. Let him expand his game lol.

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On a more serious note, I'd make sure Kessler was seeing a lot of reps in the short roll. We'll lose plenty, but he needs this element in his game if he's going to be a winner.
 
underdog said:
Yeah, the bottom line is that the odds of drafting a top 5 player are extremely low, so low that in practice, it really is all down to luck and nothing else. Even with a hard tank that results the worst record, it’s pretty hopeless with the current lottery system. Between 1989-2020 five of the 32 No. 1 draft picks (15.6%) have won an MVP. But if we take into account the current lottery odds of getting a No. 1 pick, the probability of snatching a future MVP is only 2% (0.14x0.156) even for a team with the worst record (the best tank).
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You talk as if getting the top 5 picks and drafting a franchise cornerstone(s) with them is such a random, lottery-based luck. But well-run franchises do it all the time. Just recently San Antonio, Houston, OKC and Philadelphia successfully tanked and drafted their cornerstone, while. Boston did the same by acquiring the top-5 picks via trade. Even Minnesota tanked long enough to finally build their contender around KAT and Ant.

Of course, there are teams that keep tanking and getting nothing but these are usually badly run teams like the Hornets, Wizards or Detroit. Remember, all other alternatives (trades, free agents, drafting with lower picks) are statistically much, much worse for everyone not named the Lakers or the Heat, or not having an insanely rich and generous owner like Ballmer.

I mean, you can always use the alternative strategies and fairly quickly build a first-round exit team, as the Jazz did with the Mitchell-Gobert core. If that's your goal then it's fine: no need for these useless, unreliable top 5 picks.
 
Just for the illustrative purposes: this year's Finals featured two teams vying for the championship: one led by 3rd and 1st picks and another led by two 3rd picks, with another two 3rd picks being important contributors.
 
Just a thought exercise, would having no Keegan Murray versus no Keegan Murray be worth it in terms of taking a worse deal now vs later to tank early? Same question for Podz, Moody, Kuminga, Vassell, or any other players/picks that has been mentioned from teams that were rumored.

How valuable is it to tank now?
 
jazznik said:
Just for the illustrative purposes: this year's Finals featured two teams vying for the championship: one led by 3rd and 1st picks and another led by two 3rd picks, with another two 3rd picks being important contributors.
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With the most important 3rd picks being homegrown and not acquired later.
 
KqWIN said:
Just a thought exercise, would having no Keegan Murray versus no Keegan Murray be worth it in terms of taking a worse deal now vs later to tank early? Same question for Podz, Moody, Kuminga, Vassell, or any other players/picks that has been mentioned from teams that were rumored.

How valuable is it to tank now?
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First 50 games will be key. Down the stretch we can get ugly but so will everyone else. Keep Lauri. Trade others. Tank this ****. I know I know... what if the young guys carry us... legit if Key, Taylor, Brice, Williams, Collier, Flip, Lofton with Lauri end up winning too many games then fine. Its that we are hanging on to Sexton, Kessler, JCx2 and one or two of the kids may be good enough to push you out of the desired range. Trade at least two from that group.
 
Handlogten's Heros said:
First 50 games will be key. Down the stretch we can get ugly but so will everyone else. Keep Lauri. Trade others. Tank this ****. I know I know... what if the young guys carry us... legit if Key, Taylor, Brice, Williams, Collier, Flip, Lofton with Lauri end up winning too many games then fine. Its that we are hanging on to Sexton, Kessler, JCx2 and one or two of the kids may be good enough to push you out of the desired range. Trade at least two from that group.
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Some follow up questions, what are you willing to trade those guys for/give up? At this stage in free agency, you might have to get creative but I think you can still got some stuff done.
 
jazznik said:
Then the Jazz should extend Lauri first, before "trading others". Because there is a non-zero chance that Lauri simply will not sign an extension with a stripped-to-the-studs team.
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I can think of $24 million reasons why he would and should do exactly that (the Jazz are the only team that can give him that money THIS year through renegotiation) if that were a scenario.
 
Jazz have only 5 probable rotation players over the age of 22 if you count Eubanks. Our bench is going to lose us a lot of games.
 
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