There's a sliding scale on both ends. You can't take the slight improvement one end and only compare that to the total loss disaster scenario on the negative end. There's a lot of scenarios on either end of differing impact.
We had no reason to believe we could be a good team when Hayward left either. It is different because Rudy was more likely to stay, but Donovan is also under contract for a long time and can't leave even if he wanted to. Rudy would have prevented us from possibly tanking at all, and that seems to be the main motivation here. But the point I was making is that the return from the Gobert trade is not the only reason it could be good to wait. There are several ways it could turn out positive to be more patient.
On the last point, exactly. My scenario where we make sound moves is unrealistic, and so is your scenario where we trade Rudy for Donovan and then proceed to trade Donovan himself. If you're arguing your plan against what will actually happen, I'm right there with you. But I still believe that given the ability to make decisions, I would be more patient with Don trade and have less urgency to tank.
