Jack Strop
Well-Known Member
There have been a couple of times when every playoff team in the WC had at least 50 wins. This season that may be the case again.
If they get another ball handler, they can be very dangerous.Anyone feel like they've got a handle on where the Spurs should finish in the WC? If things go well, they could be a bit better than last year.
Pau Gasol / Jakob Poeltl / Joffrey Lauvergne
Lamarcus Aldrige / Davis Bertans
Rudy Gay / Marco Belinelli
Demar DeRozan / Lonnie Walker
Dejounte Murray / Patty Mills / Derrick White
is possible depending on how events unfold. Hype factor was a big thing last season. You might not Have it as much this season.Someone actually voted 40-44 wins?
Lakers will have more IMHO. And I don't think we'll get more than 52-53.I'll say the top 8 teams in the WC go like this:
- Warriors (65 wins)
- Rockets (58 wins)
- Jazz (56 wins)
- Thunder (51 wins)
- T'wolves (48 wins)
- Blazers (47 wins)
- Pelicans (47 wins)
- Lakers (47 wins)
I'm thinking DM at 22/4/4-ish. Rudy will have 12/11 + lots of blocks. Dante will look great at times, but he's also going to look lost at times and I think his averages will suffer. But I think he's going to have a nice year.Donovan averages 24.5/4 with 3.5 assists
Gobert averages 14/11 with 2.5 blocks
Rubio averages 13/5 with 6.8 assissts
Favors averages 12/8 with 1.0 blocks
Exum breaks out and averages 12/4 with 3.4 assists as our 6th man
What numbers would you have liked? Right now it's 40+ wins, 45+ wins, 50+ wins, 55+ wins, etc.
1. GS
2. Houston
3. Boston
4. Utah
5. Philly
etc.
I have a problem with 3 East teams being in the Top 5... because its so far from true.
I have a problem with 3 East teams being in the Top 5... because its so far from true.
Could you explain this a bit -- why is the total win differential multiplied by 2.2?
Net rating is a very strong (the strongest) indicator of what a team's record will be. It's an even better indicator of a team's true strength, more than the record itself. If you run a simple regression, the formula for wins is something like Wins = x * (net rating) + 41. X usually falls between 2.2 and 2.5 depending on the season. Last season it was actually 2.58, so my projection could be seen as conservative.
Anyways, the simple way to say it is that every point of Net Rating amounts to about 2.2 wins over the course of a season. That works in the negative direction as well. So if a team was -5.0 for the season, we would expect the to be 11 wins (2.2*5) below 0.500.