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John Boehner once said, “never shoot your opponent when he’s trying to commit suicide.”If I were Putin, why would I invade Ukraine while a president Trump was bashing NATO, weakening NATO merely by bad mouthing it, and threatening to abandon our membership in NATO? Not everyday Putin is going to have such an ally in the White House. Let Trump weaken it from within, it’s too good to be true. Don’t screw that up by attacking Ukraine just at that point. It would also not surprise me if, during meeting(s) where Trump met Putin without an American translator that Putin described, “strongman to strongman”, the only equation Trump respects and yearned for himself, what Ukraine meant to him, and how little it should mean to the United States.
Putin didn’t need to invade Ukraine with Trump trashing it and weakening NATO. Bolton believes Trump would’ve left NATO in a 2nd term. So why invade in the 1st term if you can wait for Trump to do your dirty work for you?
John Bolton Says 'Putin Was Waiting' For Trump To Withdraw From NATO In Second Term
"In a second Trump term, I think he may well have withdrawn from NATO. And I think Putin was waiting for that," Bolton said.
And when you think about it, Putin just needs to wait for Republicans to retake congress later this year. We won’t be passing additional military aid once Speaker Jordan or MTG takes the gavel. If Putin can hold out until 2025 when/if Trump retakes office and gets rid of sanctions? He’ll easily be able to retake the baltics.