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If the Jazz are better than expected it's because...

Pick the most likely reason for the Jazz to crush their win total expectation.

  • Lauri has his best season in a Jazz Uniform

    Votes: 3 5.9%
  • Our Center rotation of Kessler/Nurkic is very good

    Votes: 1 2.0%
  • Will Hardy is coach of the year

    Votes: 2 3.9%
  • Ace and or WCJ are much better than typical rookies

    Votes: 24 47.1%
  • Keyonte and or Collier have a glow up

    Votes: 7 13.7%
  • Brice and or Cody have a glow up

    Votes: 1 2.0%
  • Hendricks and or Flip have a glow up

    Votes: 9 17.6%
  • Niang and or Anderson are the ultimate glue guys

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Front Office Reasons

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other (post comment)

    Votes: 4 7.8%

  • Total voters
    51
With the loss of our vets we pretty much have no idea how it will work out which could be a good thing. Maybe this new young crew will gel and add up to more than the sum of its parts.
 
Outsider Theory:

The Jazz brought in a scrub big man rim protector who at one point masqueraded as a 3pt shooter to teach Kessler that wanting to shoot 3's is bad for career if you suck at them.
My own conspiracy theory is that Walker is definitely on the way out, Hardy wants to play 5-out, and after Summer League they’re all high on KF.

Not sure I actually believe it, but I could see it.
 
My question is how can we be better than other teams? The west is absolutely loaded and we've had the worst defense in league history 2 years in a row. I will say, this team will be more fun to watch than the previous 2 years since we actually have young talent to watch
Load management

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Well, I’d say we’re going to win more than the O/U suggests, but my answer to this is different. I’m a strong believer that it’s depth that wins in the regular season. So if we win more than expected (or a lot more than O/U) it’s because we have lots of small improvements across the roster vs one guy propelling us there. Even if Key, for example, had a breakout season we could still suck badly if no one else improves and/or we give a lot of minutes to negative players. But having a roster with a lot of real players on it can win some games. There are a lot of guys just on the edge of being solid rotations guys imo. Key, Brice, Flip etc. You add those guys onto to the existing vets and you might have a decent headcount for real NBA players. To be a very bad team like we were last year you need lots of minutes from the worst guys in the league.
Good answer

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It looks like Ace is running away with this, which seems very unlikely to me that he will have that type of impact. Most rookies are not helpful to winning in the NBA.

On the other hand, if I'm remembering correctly Ace had one of the best on/off impacts of any draft pick. I've kind of ignored it as the effect of playing on a horrible team without any bigs, but maybe there is more to it???

For those that watched Rutgers any thoughts on why they played so much better with Ace on vs off the court? Is it possible that having a guy like Ace that was happy to take tough shots took pressure off everyone else and allowed them to play better? Is it possible that while he was an inconsistent defender, his length was more impactful than you would think? Is it really plausible that he could have a positive impact on winning games in year one?
 
It looks like Ace is running away with this, which seems very unlikely to me that he will have that type of impact. Most rookies are not helpful to winning in the NBA.

On the other hand, if I'm remembering correctly Ace had one of the best on/off impacts of any draft pick. I've kind of ignored it as the effect of playing on a horrible team without any bigs, but maybe there is more to it???

For those that watched Rutgers any thoughts on why they played so much better with Ace on vs off the court? Is it possible that having a guy like Ace that was happy to take tough shots took pressure off everyone else and allowed them to play better? Is it possible that while he was an inconsistent defender, his length was more impactful than you would think? Is it really plausible that he could have a positive impact on winning games in year one?
I could be misremembering but I feel like kqwin said that Ace had a negative effect on his team.

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If Hardy does his job then he develops the young guys. Since most answers are about 1 or 2 guys developing... (a job I put squarely on the shoulders of the coaches) then if Hardy does his job well, 6 - 8 guys on the list get better and we look pretty good by the end of the year.

I am shocked Hardy only got 2 votes considering the list.
 
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