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If the Jazz are better than expected it's because...

Pick the most likely reason for the Jazz to crush their win total expectation.

  • Lauri has his best season in a Jazz Uniform

    Votes: 8 10.8%
  • Our Center rotation of Kessler/Nurkic is very good

    Votes: 2 2.7%
  • Will Hardy is coach of the year

    Votes: 3 4.1%
  • Ace and or WCJ are much better than typical rookies

    Votes: 29 39.2%
  • Keyonte and or Collier have a glow up

    Votes: 13 17.6%
  • Brice and or Cody have a glow up

    Votes: 2 2.7%
  • Hendricks and or Flip have a glow up

    Votes: 11 14.9%
  • Niang and or Anderson are the ultimate glue guys

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Front Office Reasons

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other (post comment)

    Votes: 6 8.1%

  • Total voters
    74
Improved defense. Young guys step it up and Marko returns to All-star form. Two of these three will show significant improvement on the Jazz.
 
Just throwing this thought/question out there:

- What is the probability that Keyonte is our leader in ppg this year?
This is a really, really interesting question. He's the player that is most unreadable in camp this year to me. Everyone says he had a big summer - hard to tell how much of that was Dallas and how much of that was actual on-court growth. Definitely what I'm most looking forward to seeing tomorrow, Ace aside.
 
This is a really, really interesting question. He's the player that is most unreadable in camp this year to me. Everyone says he had a big summer - hard to tell how much of that was Dallas and how much of that was actual on-court growth. Definitely what I'm most looking forward to seeing tomorrow, Ace aside.

Our FGA/100Possesions last year:

- Clarkson - 24.1
- Sexton - 23.4
- Lauri - 22.4
- Keyonte - 20.6
- Collins - 20.5

There are going to be a lot of shots to get distributed around. I'm guessing Keyonte's FGAs go up.
 
Just throwing this thought/question out there:

- What is the probability that Keyonte is our leader in ppg this year?

I'd say 10-15%, more if you count scenarios where Lauri is traded. While I don't think Lauri will be as bad as last year, we're still setting him up for failure. He's a great player, but one that needs to be setup and is dependent on good infrastructure around him. His teammates will benefit from playing with him, not so much the other way around. I think Key will get lots of opportunity this year. There aren't many guards or guys who play with the ball in their hands.
 
Lauri is the obvious and expected answer, but I wouldn't have thought there was any chance that John Collins was our leading scorer last year.

I don't think the probability that Keyonte leads us in PPG is high, but I don't think it's 0.
Collins wasn't the leading scorer last year ..

Him and Lauri averaged same PPG, but Lauri played more games, so was the leading scorer
 
Just throwing this thought/question out there:

- What is the probability that Keyonte is our leader in ppg this year?
I think he finishes 2nd to Lauri.
I think key will average about 20/21 and Lauri will average about 24.
 
Collins wasn't the leading scorer last year ..

Him and Lauri averaged same PPG, but Lauri played more games, so was the leading scorer
You are correct. Technically Lauri averaged 18.97 pts/game and John averaged 18.95.

The point doesn't change. Lauri averaged 8 more points per game than Collins in 23/24. Nobody expected them to average practically the same points per game last year, yet it happened. It's not super likely that Keyonte averages more points than Lauri, but it's not 0.
 
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