In reading the tea leaves of the direction of draft talk it sounds like everyone is talking themselves into other players and Wiggins is primarily being defined by his limitations.
For example see the scout's takes hosted on Grantland today.
https://grantland.com/the-triangle/...l-scouts-on-wiggins-randle-embiid-and-parker/
I'm starting to see chatter around Aaron Gordon as a Shawn Marion clone (probably because Bill Simmons has said it a few times) and Noah Vonleh is rarely discussed in terms of his faults. Other than on Jazzfanz, there seem to be a fair number of people who believe Exum might have the highest ceiling. This is somewhat baffling, but it appears to me that everyone's stock is rising except for Wiggins and Marcus Smart's. If the trend continues this might means Smart falls out of the top 10 and Wiggins ends up around 5-7.
There is some precedent for this. Chris Paul was considered consensus #1 for almost the entirety of his college season, was considered a known quantity and ended up falling to #4 as everyone picked apart deficiencies. Paul Pierce was an astonishing drop to #10 as he fell behind guys like Raef Lafrentz. Joakim Noah was also a player projected as a 2-4 pick for virtually the entire season until slipping into the #8-12 range in the month before the draft. Same was true, to a lesser and more explainable extent, for a player like Ricky Rubio. Rubio you may remember was considered a top 3 lock for two full years until the actual weeks surrounding the draft.
These things also tend to be somewhat self-fulfilling. Once a guy starts slipping there's little rhyme or reason as to when the slip stops. That's how Danny Granger and Kawhi Leonard ended up as mid first rounders when they were considered sure fire high lottery picks.
It may sound crazy but I'm thinking there's a 30% chance or so that Wiggins is magically available at #5 and 10% he may be available as low as #8.
Of course this means the Lakers will get him and we'll all hate ourselves.
For example see the scout's takes hosted on Grantland today.
https://grantland.com/the-triangle/...l-scouts-on-wiggins-randle-embiid-and-parker/
I'm starting to see chatter around Aaron Gordon as a Shawn Marion clone (probably because Bill Simmons has said it a few times) and Noah Vonleh is rarely discussed in terms of his faults. Other than on Jazzfanz, there seem to be a fair number of people who believe Exum might have the highest ceiling. This is somewhat baffling, but it appears to me that everyone's stock is rising except for Wiggins and Marcus Smart's. If the trend continues this might means Smart falls out of the top 10 and Wiggins ends up around 5-7.
There is some precedent for this. Chris Paul was considered consensus #1 for almost the entirety of his college season, was considered a known quantity and ended up falling to #4 as everyone picked apart deficiencies. Paul Pierce was an astonishing drop to #10 as he fell behind guys like Raef Lafrentz. Joakim Noah was also a player projected as a 2-4 pick for virtually the entire season until slipping into the #8-12 range in the month before the draft. Same was true, to a lesser and more explainable extent, for a player like Ricky Rubio. Rubio you may remember was considered a top 3 lock for two full years until the actual weeks surrounding the draft.
These things also tend to be somewhat self-fulfilling. Once a guy starts slipping there's little rhyme or reason as to when the slip stops. That's how Danny Granger and Kawhi Leonard ended up as mid first rounders when they were considered sure fire high lottery picks.
It may sound crazy but I'm thinking there's a 30% chance or so that Wiggins is magically available at #5 and 10% he may be available as low as #8.
Of course this means the Lakers will get him and we'll all hate ourselves.