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Number of Wins

Games that we score more points than our opponent

  • Total voters
    73
LogGrad98 said:
45. Integrating new players in a system we have already seen is hard to learn, the issue of 10 missed games per year for key individuals, and Exum in essence starting over after missing a full season all equals lower wins than we would like.
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I need to find time to respond to this and (to your general sentiment on the team in other threads) email you back. For the latter, I apologize.

That said, 45, imo, is such a ridiculously low expectation based on everything when taken into consideration objectively. I will try to respond in detail later as to why.
 
Boris said:
44. This team is injury prone. Burks, Favors, Exum. Hayward misses game every year. JJ is old. Diaw is old.

If healthy I will say 52. I do not believe they can stay healthy.

I predict Favors 62 games.
Burks 34 games.
Exum 18 games
Diaw 61 games
JJ 74 games
Favors 68 games
Hayward 69 games
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Idiot!!

Let's see. I think Hayward missed all of one game last year, so somehow he will only play 69 games. As far as Exum is concerned he played all 82 games his rookie year. Then next year he missed all 82 games on a freak injury sustained in international ball outside the NBA so logically u think he will only play 18?? Where the hell does 18 come from??
LogGrad98 said:
45. Integrating new players in a system we have already seen is hard to learn, the issue of 10 missed games per year for key individuals, and Exum in essence starting over after missing a full season all equals lower wins than we would like.
Click to expand...

LogGrad98 said:
Should have made the poll buckets instead. Between 40 and 45, 45 to 50, 50 to 55,etc.instead. Maybe 3 games in a bucket. A prediction with a plus /minus 1 factor. Because I think 45 wins is more realistic but 44 or even up to 47 wouldn't surprise me.
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We added role players where 2 of the three come off the bench. Lol. It's not like we added LBJ, Bosh, and Wade who all came into their first year on the same team looking to run the show and all trying to be first option guys.

The guys we signed know their roles and fit together to support the stars of this team. They don't need to adjust the way they play to fit this team. Hill has always been an off the ball type of player hitting shots which is perfect since it's usually Hayward or Hood setting up the offense. Diaw is looking to pass the ball and make plays for others while Joe is the guy that hits shots and is good in crunch time and when things break down. There isn't much to adjust too.
 
I put 48 but I'd say the distribution of probability skews right. I'd put my range between 46 and 55 wins.
 
Thus far, after 19 votes, and giving a value of 57 wins for the "over" and 43 for the "under" votes, we have an average of 48.68

So there.
 
55 wins and 27 losses,basically winning 2 out of 3 games all season.

I don't think the Jazz have to "Learn how to win".They already closed out the season 2 years ago winning games with stifling defense.Jazz just need a healthy season and stay healthy.The Jazz are 12 guys deep and I think they are going to be the top defense in the league picking up where they left off 2 years ago with the same formula for wins, but 2 years smarter and stronger.

I also think that Exum,Burks and Lyles are going to make the minutes distribution very interesting.....Im not so worried about their "experience" ,as I think their talent is going to dictate the minutes.
 
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=52
 
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