Handlogten's Heros
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Got it... no one is implying or trying to devalue first round picks by comparing them to raffle/lotto tickets and half court shots. By saying all we got were a bunch of mediocre picks we aren't trying to downplay the great return we got for a great player.
First round picks are as valuable as drugs to a junky to some....
First round picks are raffle tickets or scratchers to others...
The truth is definitely in the middle. The quality of the picks is pretty amazing. I will take unprotected first round picks for teams that project to be good over protected first for teams that are mediocre all day. 3 unprotected picks and a swap plus a very lightly protected pick is some high quality ****. I get that its likely that those picks one yield one single player better than Rudy... but it likely yields a starter... maybe two. You will have team control for like 8 years and for 4 years they will be cheap.
And @Elizah Huge is also correct... it gives us the ability to increase the value of our own pick. The chances that we land an all-star caliber player with a top ten pick this year plus the 4-5 chances we get with the Minny picks is fairly solid... add in the additional value we can get selling off the pieces and using cap space and the return has a ton of potential. I'd be willing to bet the production/value we get from those assets over the next 10 years far exceeds the value Rudy would have offered over the next 4.
Its just kind of hilarious that we have people wringing their hands over getting draft picks for a guy we got by using draft picks. People acting like its lotto or lightening strike type of luck. Its lucky but its like 5-10% chances you find an all-star (or near all-star... like I'd consider an SGA as this type) with a first (increases based on where you pick obvi) not 1 in a million. You also have a 15-20% chance at a solid starter. Give yourself as many rolls of the dice as possible.
First round picks are as valuable as drugs to a junky to some....
First round picks are raffle tickets or scratchers to others...
The truth is definitely in the middle. The quality of the picks is pretty amazing. I will take unprotected first round picks for teams that project to be good over protected first for teams that are mediocre all day. 3 unprotected picks and a swap plus a very lightly protected pick is some high quality ****. I get that its likely that those picks one yield one single player better than Rudy... but it likely yields a starter... maybe two. You will have team control for like 8 years and for 4 years they will be cheap.
And @Elizah Huge is also correct... it gives us the ability to increase the value of our own pick. The chances that we land an all-star caliber player with a top ten pick this year plus the 4-5 chances we get with the Minny picks is fairly solid... add in the additional value we can get selling off the pieces and using cap space and the return has a ton of potential. I'd be willing to bet the production/value we get from those assets over the next 10 years far exceeds the value Rudy would have offered over the next 4.
Its just kind of hilarious that we have people wringing their hands over getting draft picks for a guy we got by using draft picks. People acting like its lotto or lightening strike type of luck. Its lucky but its like 5-10% chances you find an all-star (or near all-star... like I'd consider an SGA as this type) with a first (increases based on where you pick obvi) not 1 in a million. You also have a 15-20% chance at a solid starter. Give yourself as many rolls of the dice as possible.