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over/under jazz wins- 25.5

K

kanye

Active Member
pretty easy money right? we just have to match last year and the only decent player we lost is marv. coach change, new guys, progress of old guys, and we only need to pull out 26 again to cash this in? come on.
 
Is that the Vegas betting line odds?
 
I'll be there in 3 weeks. If the odds remain the same I'll be laying down a couple hundred bucks on that.
 
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franklin said:
Betting on things you have an emotional attachment is for fools.
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Nah, I've won a lot more money than I've lost betting for/against the Jazz. Knowing what side of the spread they're going to land on is like a sixth sense.
 
Joe Bagadonuts said:
Sometimes fools win.

I don't gamble because I've looked at the size of the casinos and it's pretty clear who is winning this game.
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Sports betting is quite a bit different animal than your average casino games. The line makers adjust the odds to assure the rake will come in. This opens the door for gaming the system, which attracts a lot of very smart people doing very smart things trying to gain an advantage. The question is if you are smarter than a whole lot of money behind finding out and destroying your advantage. Most don't have more than a fool's chance, even though a few key opportunities spring up every year. Find QSH's thread last year for a prime example. I think it was CHA on the over, I don't recall exactly.
 
Last year I was 1 game off from my pre-season prediction. If Trey hadn't have nailed that buzzer beater against Orlando then I would have been spot on. The three not only knocked out my perfect prediction, but also it was the difference between us getting more ping pong balls and being able to move up to third where we could have drafted the Marsupial Marvel! Oh wait...

I look forward to some pre-season games, but if the youth movement hasn't really improved (and frankly Hayward didn't show me ANYTHING at the US men's national team games he played in) then I wouldn't be that shocked if they won less than 25 games. Either way, I wouldn't bet on it until after pre-season when I can consider any growth that they do with Quin.
 
Frank give me $50 bucks I'm heading to Vegas next week, me being the mediator takes the emotion out of it!!!
 
Interesting. So in other words, the odds makers believe the loss of Marvin and Jefferson and the addition of a better coach equals a net zero change in wins.
 
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