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Rational CoViD-19 Discussion Thread: Science vs. Politics

Lessee.......

Spitballing I presume is what middle school scholars do to teachers who turn their backs to the class while scribbling Truth on the chalkboard. Usually there's a couple of goofballs earger to snicker at Truth while they make faces at their classmates.

That kind of "thinking" is, to me, about as laughable as communist dictators who have their goons in paddy wagons prowling the city streets at night, with "no-knock" orders to pick up dissidents who don't buy the State version of "Truth" in "Science".

"Laughable?" You say "laughable?". Well, yes. From a safe distance where one can be sure he's not going to be the next dissenter who doesn't believe the Statist educational offerings du jour. I mean, seriously, believable or worthy of actual belief.

In today's Science Establishment there's a helluva lot of "Political Science" that is dishonorable and downright incredible.

Like the fear-mongering about Covid virus pandemic requiring masks, disallowing HCQ and other "unproven" antiviral treatments that we haven't had time or well, hell, been allowed to try even though relatively safe from a reasonable standpoint with some rational prospect for having some value.

The latest news about "allowing" the use of recovered patients' plasma with tested antibody values is just incredible to me. The use of blood components in medicine has been going on for fifty years quite harmlessly. Removing the blood group determinants which preclude indiscriminate transfusions has been a standard medical precaution in using plasma practically my whole lifetime. A simple test for the presence of anti-Covid-19 is something that can absolute indicate the probable benefits of prescribing the use of recovered patient plasma for current patients.

Do we even need a government agency that imagines they have authority to restrict use of plasma for this treatment????

government orders requiring masks are exactly the same sort of remedies that you sneer at when you refer to snake oil remedies.

We actually have not done rigorous scientific testing of the method, nor done any serious epidemiological study on the use of masks to prove their effectiveness.

full-face respirators have been tested for their effectiveness in regard to virus particles. In research laboratories there are "clean bench" systems with controlled air flow with the same level of testing, and researchers frequently use "glove boxes" where they work through a sealed plexiglass chamber using arm-length gloves when working with materials that require such safety. I've worked with such equipment for years. Without question, the "conspiracy theory" that Covid-19 was deliberately released from a laboratory would require involvement of personnel using such precautions to intentional provide the virus to "spreaders" who then opened vials and dumped the virus solutions in a crowd....... nobody would be willing to do that without protective gear for themselves, and would be noticed in any crowd.

However, a careless worker, or one who made one protocol mistake, is not that unbelievable. I assert that everything we keep in our freezers or liquid nitrogen tanks will find its way out one day.

Willingness to voluntarily use a simple cloth or N=95 face mask would correlate very highly with knowing anything about Covid-19 and being aware of public transmission vectors, but out in an open space, or inside your own vehicle, or walking your dog around your block with simple distancing from others, you have to be an officious Statist totalitarian to order mask usage in such circumstances.

Public schools could rationally install some HVAC uv lights and electrostatic filters and achieve greater protection than a mask requirement generally, though I would still want a mask when closer than about nine feet. Air currents alter the "safe" social distance facts. Banks and offices can install such HVAC equipment just as well, and transaction counters can be fitted with a small chamber with UV lights for disinfecting cash, credit cards and paperwork, or goods, involved in the transaction. People have much better options than just piously or compliantly wearing a mask without doing any further thinking.

Statist reliance on mask orders smacks of social engineering psy-op totalitarianism. We should not give our government authority to issue such orders. Signs or pamphlets detailing known risks and benefits, sure. Orders that effectively shut down business or commerce, no.

Especially now that we know most (excess of 95%) Covid cases are inconsequential, and we know how to effectively treat 99% of the higher risk patients, and we know who is likely to seriously affected if they get it;. Seriously, Covid=19 today can be treated more effectively than the flu.

Statist, totalitarian governors who order Covid carriers to be placed in elder-care homes or centers ought to be charged with manslaughter and subjected to grand jury investigations. Governors or mayors who order reductions in mass transit during an outbreak as serious as this, with the obvious effect of crowding passengers should be similarly charged and investigated and tried. We need some way citizens can just impeach and remove such imbeciles form public office.
 
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So here is the panicmeter current offering on Covid-19:


Not sure if this link is displaced daily with new stats.

Here's what they are saying today:

Almost 6M USA cases total, with 183k deaths. Mortality figures, ignoring active cases, near 3% mortality rate. This figure may be exaggerated by inclusion of unproven or untested patients having other serious, death-causing conditions along with some C19 symptoms, including the ordinary flu. We still have no actuall epidemiological study that could give us a more reliable statistic than the case reports doing any kind of accuracy assessment on the stats. There are no doubt perhaps as many as 10k current cases that could result in deaths, but Id have rounded the figures from 183k to 200k for my 3% death rate figure.

The panicmeter site gives us only 3.3 M recovered cases so far, of 5M total so far, only 66%, meaning they are understating the recovered stat by some 30%.based on their own figure that acurrently there are less than 17k serious cases. I can't divine what they define as a serious case, probably it is a case where any level of treatment is indicated, with the total cases coming perhaps from testing data which gives us more cases in total than people who ever showed up at a doctors office with characteristic symptoms.

total tests, including I presume repeated tests, are now given at 79M in a population of 332M, some 27% of the total population including children. At an indicated incidence rate of 5/79 presently, about 7%, the untested population likely includes 20M people who have had the virus but not been tested nor shown up with symptoms, so we have a likely "herd immunity" presently of a little less than 7%, with people generally employing safe practices so that the indicated "carrier" rate of roughly 100K people in a population of 332M with 10k reported but perhaps 40k new cases daily, the infective rate R is around much less than 1, so with our practices currently, this is not going to do a big takeoff and is not something worthy of further fear-mongering, but does deserve personal common sense with factual information and reasonable precautions, like masks and social distancing when interacting in public.

There is reasonable indication that poor mask hygiene and poor air circulation in private spaces is causing a lot of cases. Stay at home orders in this case may be counterproductive.
 
What the above says, in a simple sentence, is "We have flattened the curve pretty good" and that while we will continue to get a lot of positive tests and significant but declining new cases diagnosed or presented at care institutions, the actual mortality stats and the improving care practices mean continued declining stats for this virus. We can go back to work with reasonable safety practices, even before an vaccine is available.

We can not justify a vaccination order from these stats. Nobody can reasonably argue no one should get the vaccine when it is available, but we are past the severe outbreak concern if we just use available care/precautions.
 
The organization of the effort to donate survivor plasma for research and treatment has been significant in terms of saving thousands of lives. The lady interviewed above is literally a heroine.
 
At this point..... late October 2020, just 7 or /8 months since the Covid demanded real action...... here are some notes.

The Dems have a really favorable but false story trumped up in their media. The politicization rhetoric is so off, so baseless, that it actually justifies the effort to cook up explanations for it, which of course have to be labeled "conspiracy theories".

Fauci, the Press, the Dems were extremely active in January and early February 2020 crying racist/xenophobe on Trump for his Jan 25 travel ban from China's Wuhan area, soon after all of China, then Europe. Trump went against the "Science" on that one, against Fauci and the Dem rhetoric and media rhetoric. It took the Dems/Media clear into March to get fully onboard with the public healthmeasures. At that time, some Dem governors were still requiring infected covid patients to be returned not to hospital hips sitting in the harbor but to care facilities packed with vulnerable targets.

I have seen some Dems/libs literally ecstatic about how this will help with the overpopulation problem and the elder care costs to social security and medical care programs where old fogeys are viewed as "useless eaters". We are not all that far from becoming a society that indeed recycles not just human tissues for medical transplant, but grinds up the old for dog food production.

That's the extreme, but the behavior of Dem governors in the Covid are deep in those woods. 60,000 of the deaths included in the Covid count come from elderly victims who were exposed directly consequent to Dem governor edicts. I think that's about half of all the compromised/aged victims so far. The practice is not ended, and being hidden or denied. Thanks to spotlighting from conservative talk shows like Mark Levin and Sean Hannity.

We are in the predicted fall explosion of Covid, but the good news is that treatment has become a lot better, and the death count is not keeping up with the case count proportionally.

Even with compromised patients, recovery is significantly improved as the probable outcome. Covid is less deadly than H1N1 now. And we haven't even gotten our vaccines rolled out.

I believe the most significant treatment is the antibody infusion the lady above was pushing for.

Infectivity rates are still very high, and the masks have not been proven to be effective overall. I'm sure masks help slow the spread, it's just that common sense has a role to play too. People who are doing the distancing are not getting the Covid any more than mask wearers who often disregard the distancing.

Some people mock "herd immunity" as a strategy. I'm sure immunity is not a failsafe method, I think we have significant reinfection going on with people who have the antibodies. The Covid strains are differentiating at a fast enough rate it makes "herd immunity" against Covid about as hopeful as it is with the flu.

But vaccination is "herd immunity", as well as just letting the public health go to hell and going all-natural immunity. Neither vaccination nor herd immunity is going to really be positively conclusive to Covid. It will always be something, and an important something in the issue, and it should not be mocked. It is a huge hope, a huge factor, an important part of the strategy.

But after antibody infusion as a treatment, we have a vast arsenal of fairly useful antiviral treatments, and a treatment including several of these is pretty hopeful.

Perhaps the most important thing we can do is "protect the vulnerable" where we know there is a risk factor. Focusisng on these people is probably the most cost-effective strategy.

We need to be aggressive in identifying risk factors in people generally, not just assuming we are "OK", but getting checkups and evaluations for things like eimmune response issues, circulation issues.

And perhaps last but not least, we need to be aggressive when Covid takes a serious turn, to really apply the antibiotics that are needed to limit secondary infections.

All that said, we should just open up everything, and keep using distancing/masks on a voluntary/common sense basis. Keep precautions in place for vulnerable folks.

Some of the Trump supporters need to get this kind of common sense. I dunno about Trump. I think he is "science-weary" like a lot of folks. too damn many knowitalls like me telling everybody what they should do. Having government edicts is no better.
 
A post-election/pre-Biden outlook.

A variant strain deemed even more infective is now on the news.

Again, the news is panic press. That's bad news. I mean fake news. The strain has been around Well, for weeks at least. Not very many strain checks being done. We're even labelling ordinary flu strains as covid now. Officially, in the stats. PIC stands for pneumonia influenza covid. It's in the insurance/medical dianostic tool. It gets the hospitals paid the premium. Good hospitals. Compliant hospitals. Mainsteam hospitals. wonderful.

It is not being announced that the new strain will not be effectively prevented by the vaccines, nor that it's more resistant to a lot of treatments. It is claimed that it has a higher binding coefficient. This one fact, when the binding site and the binding tool are rightly understood, would prove this whole panic a fraud.

The original strain has an astronomically improbable DNA sequence that can not occur in nature, it has to be made in a lab. The new strain is even more improbable. Real natural variants will with statistical certainty be less infective because that sequence will be broken down at some point.

The new strain will be equally susceptible to sunlight, uv, oxidizing vapors like chlorine and ozone, even smog stuff or acidic pollutants. Masks will be equally effective/ineffective. Effective in short term situations, ineffective in crowds during longer gatherings, and inside homes.

A dietary/homeopathic regimen with antiviral rumors will be about as effective as masks. Zn supplement tabs just as good as masks in closed spaces.

Cheers.

Happy New Year.

Try to tell me the next year will be better than the last. LOL.
 
Biden has turned the Covid vaccine over to the bureaucrats.

Trump would've had the Army giving the shots in stadium drive-by lanes to anyone who showed up, with a lot more help for producers and health workers doing the job.

Many of the elderly can't access the on-line applications, so college kids are being hired to help them.

Biden admin is costing more lives than Cuomo.
 
If anyone is into some next level trolling, post this on your Facebook page and watch the triggered comments roll in.
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We had some traditional vaccines that were ready for testing last April, but nobody cared about funding their required safety tests.

On the other hand, by January 10th, the whole world knew the genome of the virus and the leading variants. Every lab on earth with the equipment was checking local samples for tracking.

All the major labs were starting their programs to make mRNA and prove methods for infusion into host cells, in effect making the host a self-serving vaccine manufacturer. Calling mRNA "vaccine" is really bad both in the meaning of the word vaccine and the fact of what it is.

Some folks have reacted very negatively to mRNA technology for fighting viruses. Some believe the mRNA could alter human genetics downstream. Even ribosomal inheritance is in the DNA nor the RNA. If we made rDNA and arranged to get it into the ribosomes, yeah, we could change human genetics.

Actually, there are strong reasons for going with mRNA rather than traditional vaccines. It is hoped there will be fewer complications and collateral harm to patients. But there is absolutely NO reason to do it this way. We do not need to mess with injecting mRNA into humans.

The better way is to develop on scale batch production of the protein expressed antibodies you want to inject. No actual host, just a media with the mRNA and all that's involved in synthesizing the antibody. There would still be some cleanup work involved, and some preservative agents involved, but a lot less extraneous stuff.

One has to wonder at the decision here, and who's funding this.

I'd need about $100 M to do a pilot on this better way. Still working from the viral genome, not the live virus. Still synthesizing mRNA as the mode of producing the antibody extracellularly. This method would enable multiple antibodies for each protein of the virus, and would be very effective and very long-lasting, and would be effective across viral variants much more broadly.

I might wonder about the authorities and whether we can just trust them, but believe me, there are scientists out there who would notice if something wrong was going down.

So get the mRNA shot. And trust the work done so far that there are no consequent downsides we just don't know or aren't being told. That is the American Way.

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