I tried once to discuss the subject rationally, but then the science got crazy.
No, don't even. Don't even try to suppress this thread. Whatever your politics, this is going to be the path forward.
If anyone looks at this like some hoax or conspiracy, it's just too damn big to fit.
If anyone looks at this like a political agenda tool, it just crumbled in your hands.
I intend to bring out stuff that fits in any possible path forward, the stuff that will be the narrative that anyone will have ringing in their ears by next year.
I say it's irrational because of the political abuse. The political abuse of the subject will be like Kryptonite in any super hero who tries to make political hay from it.
Here's the list:
1. Masks failed.
reasons: 1. bad mask hygiene resulted in masks becoming more of a transport and exposure avenue for the virus than a protection for the user. You wear it too long, and don't dispose of it
safely. 2. bad masks design makes masks just symbolic gestures but not effective. 3. Mask use emboldens risk-takers.
AP
2. Quarantine failed.
reasons: 1. Orders didn't follow the science. Some governors actually ordered specific carriers to be located in vulnerable populations. Didn't use the hospitals and ships just sent carriers off to nursing homes. A lot of other equally stupid orders. Some orders partially cut public transport and forced passengers into closer quarters. Fewer trains and planes and buses without social distancing needed. 2. Stay at home failed because homes proved to be more effective spreader sites than public buildings or businesses. People at home didn't set up protection, didn't clean their air, etc. Homes became virus aggregator sites. I could go on.....
3. Treatment failed.
reasons: 1) political abuse of doctors and patients willing to try various remedies, effectively denying available efforts. Political abuse of "science" to militate against various treatments. For heaven's sake, if you have nothinjg reliable, being willing to try anything is not a crime.
2) ventilators used were literal death sentences for patients put on them. Survival stats are better for pigs in a slaughterhouse. Nobody knows how to use them, nobody knows when to begin them or stop them.
4. Stats failed. The medical reporting system was corrupted beyond any plausible defense. PCR testing was run at 40-45 cycles which generates very high rates of false positive results. Elisa tests were also run beyond the acceptable correlation limits. Orders were given that forced doctors to report non-proven cases or cases that were incidental but not primary complaints or causes. Hospitals and providers were incentivized to exaggerate case stats. Political corruption of medical practice here big-time.
5. Vaccine failed. This is a prediction, not proven yet. But here is why I think it fails. We stopped all possible real vaccine investigations based on producing either attenuated live virus or virus fragments in favor of messenger RNA productions. The problem here is that these are monoclonal preparations that will not give permanent immune defense. The messenger RNA will not persist in the human, and the protection given is extremely limited in effect. An immune response to one antigen produced in a human hosst. The virus will mutate. The human-produced antigen will soon be "seen" as a non-invasive substance.
I appreciate the idea of trying to get a "clean" vaccine without a shipload of associated foreign materials, but this is not the way to do it.
Neither Trumpsters nor Dumpsters will be crowing about our public health triumphs in the next voting cycles. We just did everything wrong.
6. Pandemic failed.
Turns out that the pandemic wasn't a real pandemic. The virus is not so deadly. 90% of people will not be seriously affected by it. We just didn't know anything, really. It is plenty serious for those who got the virus in their alveoli, where it causes holes and bleeding, and then spreads to other vital organs and provokes deadly cytokine storms. But then, that is all the reason Florida's handling of it, directed and focused on known vulnerable persons makes such a contrast with New York and several other states where clueless politicians did exactly the opposite. They all had the same information. Some chose to keep their elderly people, some chose to dispose of them.
PS. As a runner in a family of runners, I noticed a number of serious cases involving runners. People who exercise to that level of breathing are just as vulnerable as oldsters with health issues or compromised immune systems. The virus can make it to the alveolit just as if there is no defense at all.
Without those egregious errors and the false testing and false stats, this would not measure up as a pandemic.
We should not have shut down. We should have done more for vulnerable people. We should have used more questioned treatments, some of which are now know to help.
None of it makes sense to anyone. None of it is going to make any political hay. We are all just losers.
No, don't even. Don't even try to suppress this thread. Whatever your politics, this is going to be the path forward.
If anyone looks at this like some hoax or conspiracy, it's just too damn big to fit.
If anyone looks at this like a political agenda tool, it just crumbled in your hands.
I intend to bring out stuff that fits in any possible path forward, the stuff that will be the narrative that anyone will have ringing in their ears by next year.
I say it's irrational because of the political abuse. The political abuse of the subject will be like Kryptonite in any super hero who tries to make political hay from it.
Here's the list:
1. Masks failed.
reasons: 1. bad mask hygiene resulted in masks becoming more of a transport and exposure avenue for the virus than a protection for the user. You wear it too long, and don't dispose of it
safely. 2. bad masks design makes masks just symbolic gestures but not effective. 3. Mask use emboldens risk-takers.
AP
2. Quarantine failed.
reasons: 1. Orders didn't follow the science. Some governors actually ordered specific carriers to be located in vulnerable populations. Didn't use the hospitals and ships just sent carriers off to nursing homes. A lot of other equally stupid orders. Some orders partially cut public transport and forced passengers into closer quarters. Fewer trains and planes and buses without social distancing needed. 2. Stay at home failed because homes proved to be more effective spreader sites than public buildings or businesses. People at home didn't set up protection, didn't clean their air, etc. Homes became virus aggregator sites. I could go on.....
3. Treatment failed.
reasons: 1) political abuse of doctors and patients willing to try various remedies, effectively denying available efforts. Political abuse of "science" to militate against various treatments. For heaven's sake, if you have nothinjg reliable, being willing to try anything is not a crime.
2) ventilators used were literal death sentences for patients put on them. Survival stats are better for pigs in a slaughterhouse. Nobody knows how to use them, nobody knows when to begin them or stop them.
4. Stats failed. The medical reporting system was corrupted beyond any plausible defense. PCR testing was run at 40-45 cycles which generates very high rates of false positive results. Elisa tests were also run beyond the acceptable correlation limits. Orders were given that forced doctors to report non-proven cases or cases that were incidental but not primary complaints or causes. Hospitals and providers were incentivized to exaggerate case stats. Political corruption of medical practice here big-time.
5. Vaccine failed. This is a prediction, not proven yet. But here is why I think it fails. We stopped all possible real vaccine investigations based on producing either attenuated live virus or virus fragments in favor of messenger RNA productions. The problem here is that these are monoclonal preparations that will not give permanent immune defense. The messenger RNA will not persist in the human, and the protection given is extremely limited in effect. An immune response to one antigen produced in a human hosst. The virus will mutate. The human-produced antigen will soon be "seen" as a non-invasive substance.
I appreciate the idea of trying to get a "clean" vaccine without a shipload of associated foreign materials, but this is not the way to do it.
Neither Trumpsters nor Dumpsters will be crowing about our public health triumphs in the next voting cycles. We just did everything wrong.
6. Pandemic failed.
Turns out that the pandemic wasn't a real pandemic. The virus is not so deadly. 90% of people will not be seriously affected by it. We just didn't know anything, really. It is plenty serious for those who got the virus in their alveoli, where it causes holes and bleeding, and then spreads to other vital organs and provokes deadly cytokine storms. But then, that is all the reason Florida's handling of it, directed and focused on known vulnerable persons makes such a contrast with New York and several other states where clueless politicians did exactly the opposite. They all had the same information. Some chose to keep their elderly people, some chose to dispose of them.
PS. As a runner in a family of runners, I noticed a number of serious cases involving runners. People who exercise to that level of breathing are just as vulnerable as oldsters with health issues or compromised immune systems. The virus can make it to the alveolit just as if there is no defense at all.
Without those egregious errors and the false testing and false stats, this would not measure up as a pandemic.
We should not have shut down. We should have done more for vulnerable people. We should have used more questioned treatments, some of which are now know to help.
None of it makes sense to anyone. None of it is going to make any political hay. We are all just losers.
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