If the Jazz can get to 53 wins and beat Golden State in their next matchup, the Jazz could catch the Ws for the 3rd seed. It means that the Jazz would have to finish 10-3 though.
Warriors have some tough games: @MIA, @ATL, @MEM, PHX, UTA, SAN twice, @NOL. Without Steph and with Draymond on a mins restriction, I could see them finishing 6-6 to end up at 53 wins. Maybe they come in a win or two below that.
Jazz can maybe lose @BRK, @BOS and @DAL. They'd have to win everything else, including LAC twice, NYK, MEM, LAL, @GSW and PHX. By the 2nd to last game of the season, PHX has nothing to play for and should rest their key players.