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The official "let's impeach Trump" thread

fishonjazz said:
That's not how it works. The tweet isn't predicting anything. It's just saying the results of a poll. So the tweet could be 100% right about the poll results and still wrong about the future actual election.

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She's saying "Trump underwater in"

250,000 people doesn't tell the whole story, not even a fraction. Where do these 250,000 votes come from? You actually have to register to the website to vote in that poll. You really think that's accurate?

Edit- it's actually closer to 270,000 but that changes nothing.
 
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On average that would be about 5400 people polled per state. That is in no way a fair representation. For all we know only 12 people were polled in Utah.
 
JazzyFresh said:
She's saying "Trump underwater in"

250,000 people doesn't tell the whole story, not even a fraction. Where do these 250,000 votes come from? You actually have to register to the website to vote in that poll. You really think that's accurate?

Edit- it's actually closer to 270,000 but that changes nothing.
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The poll is showing how the people who took the poll felt or at least what they are saying they felt (since they could also be lying)
That's it.
I think you are making too big of a deal about it for some reason

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JazzyFresh said:
On average that would be about 5400 people polled per state. That is in no way a fair representation. For all we know only 12 people were polled in Utah.
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Did the poll say it was a fair representation? Is the poll saying that it represents every voter in America?


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JazzyFresh said:
Meh I think she's being disingenuous.
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I think you are dude. She forwarded the poll results that she thought were interesting and cited the link. According to the poll, Trump was underwater in those states at the time. Were they not? Did she misrepresent the poll results in some way? Did she obfuscate where the poll comes from? Does the poll itself not publish the uncertainty range? Is 270,000 not a large enough sample size to reasonably represent the population? It actually is. Please go learn some math. Maybe the survey questions were biased? No?

The poll was given online which means the sample was self-selected. This may introduce bias since usually the passionate are compelled to respond. This is an argument you could have made if you knew how to make it.

Poll results are poll results, that's all that they are bro. Why are you punching at shadows?
 
JazzyFresh said:
Meh I think she's being disingenuous.
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I think you are seeing bogeymen.
It's just a poll. Not a big deal.
And honestly shouldn't be shocking. Trump is a douchebag. I would think that douchebags would do poorly in polls.

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Safetydan said:
I think you are dude. She forwarded the poll results that she thought were interesting and cited the link. According to the poll, Trump was underwater in those states at the time. Were they not? Did she misrepresent the poll results in some way? Did she obfuscate where the poll comes from? Does the poll itself not publish the uncertainty range? Is 270,000 not a large enough sample size to reasonably represent the population? It actually is. Please go learn some math. Maybe the survey questions were biased? No?

Poll results are poll results, that's all that they are bro. Why are you punching at shadows?
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I think you could do a jazzfanz poll and the significance is exactly the same.
 
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