If I were to ask you to look at how the federal deficit changed over the period of, say, 1960 to 1990, do you think you'd see a big jump in 1965 (the actual start of the Great Society programs) and following, or in years following the programs being cut back, dismantled, or re-routed? I looked it up, but I wanted to check to see if you had.None of them and all of them. It wasn't the result of the programs themselves. It was the aggregate price tag so far above the level of tax revenue.
I think narrowing this down to a ten-year window is a great way to hide the overall trends.Here is the graph you refer to in your linked piece with the 10 year period pointed out. The meat of the spending really started in 1968-1969. By 1980 Volker had broken the spiral. Notice the blue housing price curve between '68/'69 and '78/79. Now look at the red income curve during the same period. That is why I hope everyone owns their house because this is in the pipeline but on steroids.![]()
Yes, there's a jump in 1970 to 1980 (although the main GS spending is 1968-1972) while wages are rising, but there is also a similar-sloped increase during 1990-2008, coming during and after some of our best years in terms of deficits. Then housing costs fall despite the massive spending in the Obama administration. It's almost as if the relationship to housing costs and federal deficits is very loose, if it exists at all.
But yeah, if you look only at your preferred 10-year window, your interpretation fits.