Lia Thomas is also well into the transition process.Lia Thomas won the women's 500 with a time of 4:33.24. Matthew States won the men's 500 with a time of 4:06.61. In the most recent Utah High School championship, Tanner Nelson from Bingham won the boys 500 in 4:30.06.
As a sophomore (3 years ago) in the notoriously slow Brown University Ivy League pool, Thomas swam a 500Fr of 4:18.72. Had she not transitioned, there is every reason to expect Thomas would have been in the NCAA championships as a male swimmer. She has lost 20 seconds (in Ivy League pools) since the transition, despite three additional years of training and growth.
You're assuming the hormone suppression starts after high school, when many states allow puberty blockers much younger. As student could easily have three years of hormone treatment before starting college (IIRC, it was Terry Miller who had started hormone treatments before her freshman year of high school).A future athlete trying to duplicate what Thomas has done this year would have to go on testosterone suppression while continuing to race against men for a full year, ...A college swim team would be well within its rights to cut any male athlete that was too slow to win a spot on the men's team. The chances of a male athlete being among the fastest male swimmers on a men's college swim team through three years of testosterone suppression is zero.
Wishful thinking on your part.It doesn't. You don't understand the roadblock the NCAA has put up. The door appears open but it isn't.