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Utah@Arizona- Sat, Oct 19

7StraightIsGreat

7StraightIsGreat

Well-Known Member
IMO this game is gonna tell us a lot about the Utes. Will the team suffer a let down after the huge win? Will the defense continue their upward trajectory? Can Travis Wilson protect the ball? How does Utah perform after spending the first 6 weeks in state?

Tons of questions.
 
Maybe I'm being a bit too unrealistic, but I expect a win. After all the positive strides from the Stanford game I think we've got a great shot in this one.
It kind of boggles my mind that Arizona is favored (-4.5) by Vegas on this one.
 
Vegas doesn't trust a young Utah team that had six TO's vs UCLA and hasn't left the state yet. First road game, let down off a big win. Big game for Utah.

They are a young team, can they be consistent? We will find out this Sat. If they win, they have a shot at 7-10 wins this year. If they lose, they might not make a bowl game. That is what is so crazy about young teams: consistency. This weekend is HUGE for Utah. I'd say bigger than last weekend.
 
Here's my take on that line,

I think the general betting rule is that about 4 points automatically goes to the home team, so really they are just saying it's a toss up. And I think that's probably accurate. Personally, once you have a lot of data like you should six games in I like to go Total offense ranking + Total defense ranking/2 for both teams in a game. And then subtract the lowest overall value from the highest to get a reasonable line and then compare it to the actual line to see if a game is bettable.

So Arizona is 58 on total off + 47 on toal Def = 105/2 = 52.5
Utah is 31 off + 73 def = 104 /2 = 52
52 - 52.5 = Utah as a half point favorite.

So with those 4 home teams points added in It looks like a fair spread to me. Not bettable.
 
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The only things I see keeping the Utes from a win:
Let down after a huge win over Stanford.
First real road trip of the year.


I don't think Utah has any business losing this one.
 
I can see this game going many different ways. Hopefully, our young guys show some composure. Specifically, Travis Wilson needs to avoid turnovers. Also, I have no idea what our gameplan is going to look like. I'm assuming we won't attack arizona like we attacked Stanford.
 
WhiskyPriest said:
I can see this game going many different ways. Hopefully, our young guys show some composure. Specifically, Travis Wilson needs to avoid turnovers. Also, I have no idea what our gameplan is going to look like. I'm assuming we won't attack arizona like we attacked Stanford.
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I bet we run the ball big time. Try to hold onto the ball, limit Travis's opportunities to have a TO. This is a HUGE game.

Also, I bet we defend Arizona similar to Stanford. Force their QB to throw the ball. Take away the run game. This will be another big test for McGill. If he can shut down their big WR, and Wilson can limit TO's we should win. BUT, being on the road after a big game...who knows.
 
Prediction: IF Utah can win this game, they split with ASU/USC, beat Colorado and Wazzu, and end up in the Holiday Bowl.

IMO, with this type of schedule and Utah's relative youth, that would be every bit as impressive to me as going undefeated in the MWC and going to the Fiesta Bowl.
 
green said:
I bet we run the ball big time. Try to hold onto the ball, limit Travis's opportunities to have a TO. This is a HUGE game.

Also, I bet we defend Arizona similar to Stanford. Force their QB to throw the ball. Take away the run game. This will be another big test for McGill. If he can shut down their big WR, and Wilson can limit TO's we should win. BUT, being on the road after a big game...who knows.
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Good heavens, I can't think of a reason why we WOULDN'T run the ball big time. I realize Arizona's D is faster than Stanford's (albeit not as big and beefy) but our O-Line has hit it's stride, and the read option is throwing things off so heavily that it allows Bubba to break out for good long gains. I really love the way we did bubble screens against Stanford as another option in the read option... makes it so much harder for the defense to stay home and be honest in their defense. Again, not sure if it will work against a quicker Arizona D, but it's going to be fun to see what happens.

I'm becoming less and less concerned with the D every game. They had some great stuff happen in the UCLA game, and tons more in the Stanford game. I'm excited to see what they will do against an "average" PAC-12 offense.
 
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