I've read online people comparing this to Iraq. While there's similar attempts to paint a war in Iran as a "patriotic endeavor" to protect us against the scurrry mooooslums, I don't see the comparisons.
- The Bush administration enjoyed a 90+ percent approval rating post 9/11. Trump's has never risen about 50 percent. Bush was never impeached. The national debt is a much greater concern today. Goodluck taking the nation to war after being impeached, eyeing a national debt of $20+ trillion, and enjoying 40 percent approval ratings.
- The nation was paranoid and scurrrred post 9/11. In 2020, the nation isn't nearly as paranoid about radical Islam. There's zero sense of urgency from the masses that Iran needs regime change. Check back with me if/when they use a nuclear weapon.
- The Bush administration was disciplined in its messaging. WMDs! Yellowcake! Smoking Gun being a mushroom cloud! So disciplined that even a handful of our allies fell for it. The Trump administration can't even tie its own shoes. The Soleimani killing was justified because he was planning something or the contractor was killed or the embassy was protested at or something. No one knows why and this administration lacks the credibility to give a credible justification. Trump alone can't keep his message straight. Has he tried to stir support for an Iranian invasion on CNN yet? Or Rosie O'Donnell? We all know the real reason too. He felt embarrassed by the embassy protests, wanted to distract from impeachment, and so he chose the most radical option on a list presented to him. The most radical option was put on the list to make the realistic options appear even more realistic.
- Lastly, the nation had enjoyed relatively bloodless and quick interventions in the Balkans prior to invasions in Afghanistan and Iraq. Yet, those two failed rebuilds are fresh in our minds today. So while a portion of Trump's base is clamoring for over another SHOCK N AWE invasion, most everyone else isn't.
Eminently sensible.
But how does any of this really apply to Trump? Who will be the Generals or Congressmen to disobey Trump's orders? At what level of casualties would that happen? Say Iran orchestrated 3000 deaths like 9/11. Does that equate to wiping out a city of 20,000 in Iran? What would the response be? Would Trump have to confer with Congress about how much death to rain down on Iran? He has already announced his tweet is rule.
I think Iran know they are dealing with a madman in Trump and they will think hard about calling his bluff. It is only a few individuals who were assassinated after all. Or they could just say **** it, we'll suffer the consequences whatever they may be, and bomb a sporting event or large gathering.
Getting ugly as ****Getting less ideal by the minute.