Anyone see Joe Biden on Stephen Colbert last night? He may have done well enough to stave off the accusation that he has early onset dementia, at least for the time being. However, he sure comes across as old, tired and lacking much conviction. He keeps repeating his hollow talking point about restoring the soul of the nation, which he expounds upon, when pressed, by citing racial tension in America. I don't think he's really winning over many Democrats, who seem to be more impassioned about at least 3 other candidates. The DNC-approved polls (the ones that are keeping Tulsi Gabbard off the debate stage this month), still assert that he's leading the field. He appeals most to voters over the age of 50.
I think his chance of winning the nomination is 50% at best, and this is only because the other leading candidates are too far on the left. Meanwhile, Andrew Yang makes so much sense when he talks that people can't figure out if he's really in politics or not.