Handlogten's Heros
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No one is really assuming, it's making educated guesses based off the remaining schedule before ASB. The Jazz are going to get to play 12 of their last 16 games at home before ASB, with a lot of them coming against inferior opponents. The Jazz should absolutely be able to take care of business against those teams.
Also I don't think this team as constructed is a championship contending team unless there's dramatic improvement across the board starting with Mitchell post ASB, but a couple of minor moves isn't going to change that either. If the trade deadline is cold on sellers I'd rather just let the team have another crack as constructed and then use draft night/the offseason to make some major moves with all the cap space we'll have, and really think about trying to contend for the following season with a hopefully improved Mitchell, a potential upgrade somewhere on the roster, etc.
I think we definitely win a bunch more games... just might not be gifted a game like the Memphis one last year where they tanked it away... or a couple of the GS ones where they didn't really try. If we have a couple more of the Atlanta type instances where we lose a game we absolutely should win then it will sting more this year because we have more good teams we have to pass in the standings. I think the way this current iteration is playing could leave us more susceptible to those disappointments.
I'm also worried that Sacramento has another move to make. I think the Wiz get desperate and dump Ariza for salary relief and Sacramento gets him for Koufos or similar expirings. I think the Clips are the only current playoff team I could see having a big decline (last year Minny and Clips faded). If Lakers have a healthy Lebron they are likely in the playoffs... we barely squeaked in and had some help and injury luck down the stretch. I see a very real chance we are the 47-48 win team left out of the playoffs... I don't think its likely but we aren't close to a sure thing.