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Hayward & Jazz - not close to agreement (Hayward leaving 4/40 on the table)

15% isn't a meaningful number. You can build an offense around Harden; you can't build an offense around Hayward; you need an offense to contend. What the **** does 15% even mean?

I am in no way saying that you can build an offense around Hayward, I was using it as a point that it was not a clear cut thing that Harden was a max player before the trade to Houston. He was about 15% better than Hayward in points, shooting percentage, rebounds, assists, and just about everything across the board. That, to me, means that he was a much better player. If Hayward had Hardens stats, then there would be no question on whether or not to give him the $52 million contract. But there was a question as to whether or not Harden deserved max money with those numbers.
 
in one season he was slightly lower, but still lower, the season before he was much lower in usage.

Um okay... we're clearly talking about last season. His numbers aren't lower in any meaningful way. It's not about winning the argument, it's about objectively evaluating Hayward's worth. And according to your numbers, he got starter minutes and starter role. In other words, we know what we currently have. And what we have is not Harden.
 
Hayward was pretty efficient last season (as a spot-up shooter).

Which is how he should be featured. He's also an above average cutter (rank 60th), but you can't rely on that for anything more than taking advantage defensive lapses.

Numbers don't lie, that is exactly what happened. You can compare the numbers for yourself, but here they are just incase you don't want to:

Al MPG 2011-2013 36, 34, 33
Al usage rate 24.2, 25.7, 25.3

Paul mpg same time: 34, 32, 30
Paul usage rate: 22.6, 23.2, 22.4

Gordon MPG same time: 17, 30, 29 *edited because I originally put 80 for the second season...
Gordon usage rate: 15.3, 17.8, 22.1

Gordon was always second or third to these guys. It is very clear. I didn't look up Mo, but to me when he was on the court together with Hayward, it was not a good fit, and Mo was a ball hog.

Are you trying to tell us Hayward wasn't given the keys to the city his rookie year?
 
Which is how he should be featured. He's also an above average cutter (rank 60th), but you can't rely on that for anything more than taking advantage defensive lapses.



Are you trying to tell us Hayward wasn't given the keys to the city his rookie year?

Ok, lets throw out the rookie year, and second year, and just look at last year. When Mo was healthy, he got more minutes and had a slightly higher usage rate than Gordon. So that means that Gordon was fourth to Al, Paul and Mo. How is that being given the keys to the city? Al is an inefficient scorer, Paul is a hard worker, but not an all star, and Mo was always a ball hog. If you can honestly say that you really think Hayward was given every possible opportunity to succeed, then you must not think very highly of the way the Jazz develop players.
 
Ok, lets throw out the rookie year, and second year, and just look at last year. When Mo was healthy, he got more minutes and had a slightly higher usage rate than Gordon. So that means that Gordon was fourth to Al, Paul and Mo. How is that being given the keys to the city? Al is an inefficient scorer, Paul is a hard worker, but not an all star, and Mo was always a ball hog. If you can honestly say that you really think Hayward was given every possible opportunity to succeed, then you must not think very highly of the way the Jazz develop players.
1. Usage rates for Paul, Mo and Gordo were virtually identical. You can just as easily conclude that they were options 2a, 2b and 2c.

2. Al was not an inefficient scorer when you consider his role/shot types.

3. Hayward showed no ability to score on-ball. As such, expecting him to get lots of touches was/is unrealistic.
 
Ok, lets throw out the rookie year, and second year, and just look at last year. When Mo was healthy, he got more minutes and had a slightly higher usage rate than Gordon. So that means that Gordon was fourth to Al, Paul and Mo. How is that being given the keys to the city? Al is an inefficient scorer, Paul is a hard worker, but not an all star, and Mo was always a ball hog. If you can honestly say that you really think Hayward was given every possible opportunity to succeed, then you must not think very highly of the way the Jazz develop players.

Mo ended with 30.8 mpg and 22.4 usage. A minute more than Hayward, and the same usage. But he only played in 46 games. But this is getting tedious. I guess we'll just have to wait and see what the management come up with, and how Hayward performs now that he's the team's first option.
 
It will be interesting to see how Hayward performs in a role that does not involve the offense moving around Big Al. I think he will be a lot better in an offense that is not so slow, as he is pretty good in transition.

GVC, what you said makes more sense, that he was an option 2, along with Millsap and Mo.

How do you guys think Hayward would look on the seven seconds or less Suns/Nash teams? That would be interesting.
 
How do you guys think Hayward would look on the seven seconds or less Suns/Nash teams? That would be interesting.
Hayward would have put up numbers with those Suns sitting in the corner and waiting for a pass. Of course, no one would think he's worth $10mm+.
 
They took a huge risk
They took a huge risk giving the max to a player that scored 17 points on 11 shots a game, did it on the ball, off the ball, was the 2nd best player on an NBA finalist in just his third year, was on a dream team, and would've gotten that contract from every team in the NBA (in a vacuum, OKC wasn't in a vacuum)? Alright dude.
 
They took a huge risk giving the max to a player that scored 17 points on 11 shots a game, did it on the ball, off the ball, was the 2nd best player on an NBA finalist in just his third year, was on a dream team, and would've gotten that contract from every team in the NBA (in a vacuum, OKC wasn't in a vacuum)?
It's hard to overstate how efficient Harden was in 11/12. 10 in overall PPP, even with over 46% of his terminal possessions coming in isos, post-ups and as PnR ball handler.
 
It's hard to overstate how efficient Harden was in 11/12. 10 in overall PPP, even with over 46% of his terminal possessions coming in isos, post-ups and as PnR ball handler.
I set myself up for disappointment in my hopes that the Jazz might land Harden somehow. Last Halloween was rough. Oh well.
 
I set myself up for disappointment in my hopes that the Jazz might land Harden somehow. Last Halloween was rough. Oh well.

Harden probably would have just got "corbined" anyway.
After we had foye and marvin so wgere would harden minutes?
 
I set myself up for disappointment in my hopes that the Jazz might land Harden somehow. Last Halloween was rough. Oh well.

We should have traded Hayward for Harden. That trade probably would have even been better for OKC than Martin.
 
We should have traded Hayward for Harden. That trade probably would have even been better for OKC than Martin.

What makes that hard is that Harden would have to choose to sign an extension with the team he was being traded to and I wouldn't blame him for not wanting to come here. That, and who knows if the Jazz were actually in the running to begin with.
 
Actually, I take some of that back. The Jazz would've held his agency rights so I'm not sure how much his willing to sign an immediate extension actually matters (as it is very unlikely anyone would forego ~$10 million additional and stay an extra year at a place he didn't want to be in order to enter UFA).
 
As much as the Thunder may have undervalued Harden, I think most people thought the right choice was to amnesty Perk or commit to Harden and move Ibaka, but the Thunder got cocky.

They figured hey, we got this. Lamb will be a stud and these draft picks will be amazing and Martin can so what Harden did ezpz until Lamb comes along.

Wrong.

X100 times this!!!
 
What makes that hard is that Harden would have to choose to sign an extension with the team he was being traded to and I wouldn't blame him for not wanting to come here. That, and who knows if the Jazz were actually in the running to begin with.

I thought his deal was an extend and trade? Jazz would not have traded for him without an extension.
 
I thought his deal was an extend and trade? Jazz would not have traded for him without an extension.

He would have been an RFA the next summer so we could have matched anything he got in free agency and since we would have been able to give the extra year and the risk associated with the QO to get to UFA he would have stayed.
 
He would have been an RFA the next summer so we could have matched anything he got in free agency and since we would have been able to give the extra year and the risk associated with the QO to get to UFA he would have stayed.

Yeah that's what I thought as well. So pretty much the same situation as Hayward but obviously vastly different levels of talent.

No way Hayward is worth MAX. This coming from a guy who had Hayward as his avatar for the past 3 years unchanged.
 
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