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Jazz 2017/18 Playoff Bus! All Aboard!

gomretat said:
We have a legit shot at making the playoffs but getting to 6 is much more than a tall order. Hope if happens but just dont see it. Simple math says no.
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Simple math says yes. If the Jazz win 60% of their remaining games I'm nearly certain they will make the playoffs. And with the schedule they have, 60%+ looks very likely.
 
Siro said:
It's really quite simple. Look at 3rd place Spurs. They're at 36-25. They have 21 games left. Assuming, for argument's sake, they win at same rate they've been winning (0.59). That's 12-9. So the Jazz would have to win 17 games, finishing 17-5, to end up ahead of the Spurs. This is mathematically possible, do you agree? It applies as well to any team as it does the Spurs, yes? It's also within the realms of possibility as things go. Sometimes teams do win 17 out of 22. I was responding to the post about "simple math". A quick look shows it isn't so. Your "logic" thing is just your projection of where the Jazz will end up. You're, at best, describing an educated guess. Not logic, which cannot be disputed.
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OK, so the logic part is that some of the teams will win by default because they play each other. The rest is just reality. The other teams are not going to lose to the bad teams in the NBA. The only thing closer than the WC race is the race for the worst record. 8 teams are within 2 wins. For the Jazz to win 17 games, they will have to win at least 4 of the following; Houston, @Pacers, @ NO, Boston @SA, @GS, @Minn, GS, @Por. All this while they can't lose any home games or against non playoff teams, this includes Minn, LAC, Det who are all going to be fighting for a playoff spot.

And at the same time you have to hope that none of the other teams like Minn don't do better than 12 wins to finish the season.
 
Calling all Bus ticket holders.

I’m going to be less present for a while and my updating of the playoff Bus OP and day to day game focus posts will slip.

Any posters up for the day to day game highlight posts?

Any mods up for updating the OP with standings and what not?
 
cmw said:
Looking at the rest of the schedule, Jazz have 12 games they should be favored and must win. 8 tough games against the top teams that they need to take a few from, and 2 that are toss ups that they need. 16 wins in there gets em to 47 and probably in. Last 2 games are against Portland a golden st. Portland will be fighting for position more than likely, but golden st. May be resting which could make that game winnable. 11 games against tanking teams left. I like the odds

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Still seems like a tall order to me, mainly because other teams are likely to keep winning. If we need 17 W's to get in, that means we'll have to win all 11 gimmes (see our struggles against Suns and Dallas for evidence that we likely drop one of these), plus both toss-ups. Then we need to grab 3 out of 8 tough-team games. If Utah pulls this off and gets into the playoffs it'll be a remarkable achievement.

P.S.—I don't feel too bad about teams like the Wolves dealing with players lost to injury since Gobert has missed so much time this year.
 
LifeOnaPlate said:
Still seems like a tall order to me, mainly because other teams are likely to keep winning. If we need 17 W's to get in, that means we'll have to win all 11 gimmes (see our struggles against Suns and Dallas for evidence that we likely drop one of these), plus both toss-ups. Then we need to grab 3 out of 8 tough-team games. If Utah pulls this off and gets into the playoffs it'll be a remarkable achievement.

P.S.—I don't feel too bad about teams like the Wolves dealing with players lost to injury since Gobert has missed so much time this year.
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We will certainly drop some unexpected games, but we’re going to win some unexpected games, too.
 
The other teams all have much much stiffer schedules. Play each other a good bit. It's impossible for all of them to keep winning. Jazz made up a s^$t ton of games in the past 13. Just because they haven't passed anyone doesn't mean they aren't gaining.

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sgjazzfan said:
Unless the Jazz go on another 11 game winning, its going to take 2 of the teams falling a bit from the rest of the pack for the Jazz to make the playoffs. Chances are it happens with as much as the other teams are playing each other, but I don't think you can expect 4 teams to go under .500 for the remainder of the season. Thats what it will take for Jazz to get a 5-6 seed if they end up with 44-45 wins.
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Well said. Works for me under both simple math and simple logic but I obviously have an inferior definition of what that means. Point still remains - good chance of getting to the playoffs, tall order to get to 6 or above.
 
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