NBA to announce new TV deal on Monday
- Thread starter My2Cents
- Start date
GVC
Well-Known Member
Depending on when the new TV revenues will count for BRI, Gordo may be pretty hard to move.
Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
True. Forgot about the trade kicker. But he can waive it.
There's a reason Gordon wanted an opt out after 3 years. And that reason is he'll be a 7-yr vet and eligible for the 5/30% tier. Not saying he'll get it. But if a team like Charlotte was willing to give him a max deal, there will probably be a team stupid enough to offer him >$20M. I just hope it isn't Utah. We need guys like Tim Duncan who are willing to accept less so the entire team can be better. The luxury tax could be an issue in 4-5 years for Utah, especially if they try to retain both Kanter and Burks via matching contract offers.
SO I guess the consideration will be just to let Gordon go in 3 years when he opts out. Better start preparing for that now and in the next draft.
GVC
Well-Known Member
Except that teams were anticipating a large increase in the cap with the new TV deal...
Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
Won't there be a huge increase in the cap over the next several years caused by the new deal? I was using your figures of a potential $100M cap by '16-17. Teams are going to have money to burn if that's the case. So a deal around $25M for Hayward is like the max deal he got this season (25% of BRI).
akirac73
Well-Known Member
I do feel better knowing that his contract won't cripple the teams flexibility as much, but I still don't think he's worth even half of that contract. I bet Hayward is kicking himself for jumping the gun...LOL. He could've done a one year deal, then after the salary cap goes up, ask for a $22M/year package instead.
GVC
Well-Known Member
My point is that Gordo's contract might amount to a more reasonable proportion of the cap as soon as next season, which Charlotte may have been planning for. It's entirely possible that Charlotte wouldn't have signed him to such a large deal if the expectation of a significantly increased salary cap weren't present. With shorter contracts under the CBA, and with the possibility of the increase in the salary cap being "smoothed" starting next offseason, a lot of the "money to burn" will already be burnt, and Gordo will receive compensation in line with his actual value (ie. less than 30% of the cap), when he hits free agency in 2017.
Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
^^
Yes, I agree there will be some smoothing. But the players union is not going to accept the cap being artificially deflated for 3 years. So as your original post (which I believe was comments from Larry Coon) suggested, the cap could easily be close to $100M in 3 years. That's what I was referring to in my assertion that Gordon would opt out in 3 years and seek a contract in the $25M range. Maybe he doesn't get that much, but if he's averaging 18/5/5 and his shooting has rebounded to his historic 45%/38% range, I think a team will give him $20M+, especially when so much cap space is available. That's what drove his price up this year - multiple teams had available cap space to burn - and one of them did just that. In 4 years, $25M will be seen as a "discount" (i.e. less than a 30% max deal)
Yes, I agree there will be some smoothing. But the players union is not going to accept the cap being artificially deflated for 3 years. So as your original post (which I believe was comments from Larry Coon) suggested, the cap could easily be close to $100M in 3 years. That's what I was referring to in my assertion that Gordon would opt out in 3 years and seek a contract in the $25M range. Maybe he doesn't get that much, but if he's averaging 18/5/5 and his shooting has rebounded to his historic 45%/38% range, I think a team will give him $20M+, especially when so much cap space is available. That's what drove his price up this year - multiple teams had available cap space to burn - and one of them did just that. In 4 years, $25M will be seen as a "discount" (i.e. less than a 30% max deal)
mellow
Well-Known Member
Days like to today suck. What do I care about a potential fight 3 years away between a bunch of millionaires and a few billionaires. I know it is an inseparable part of the nba, but dislike being constantly reminded about it. When the drama becomes bigger than the game it becomes wwf to me. Someone see if Cyndi Lauper is available....
GVC
Well-Known Member
In return, it will be artificially inflated next season. I think that's something next year's free agents could get the rest of the players behind, but maybe not. If not, 2015 free agency could be really strange, with some players being paid a large portion of the cap relative to their actual value, and other players accepting 1-year deals.
If...
But yeah, Gordo could command $20mm+ in 2016 under a $100mm+ cap. That would be the equivalent of making $12.6mm+ under the current cap figure.
