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Off-Season Rumblings

Lauri is generally considered a top 25 or top 30 player in the league. He gets mentioned along with guys like Towns and Siakam.
 
Off the top of my head, the Utah Jazz have drafted 4 top 15 players in the last 24 years: Dominique Wilkens, John Stockton, Karl Malone, and Deron Williams.
Rudy and Don should be in there.
 
Rudy and Don should be in there.
And thus the problem. If we’re saying it’s a better than 50% chance we’ll draft a top 15 player in the next decade, I’d be hopeful the chances are much higher than 50%, and for two of those guys rather than one, for giving away the bird-in-hand of two top 15 guys.
 
Rudy and Don should be in there.
And none of them were serious championship contenders. Because when you build your team around the best player who is only top 15 you will not go far. The derons, mitchells, goberts and lauris of the world. The only time when the Jazz were real contenders was the time when they were headlined by the top 5 player, two-times MVP.
 
And yet he is likely better than anyone we will draft in the next 10 years.

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The argument is better than Lauri… if he’s top-20 that means better than that is top-15.
The argument is Lauri is better than anyone we will draft so if we draft someone as good or better I’m good. All this arbitrary and subjective top X player is kinda silly. Just like it’s silly that we will never draft an all star in the next 10 years given the depth of our draft resources.
 
And thus the problem. If we’re saying it’s a better than 50% chance we’ll draft a top 15 player in the next decade, I’d be hopeful the chances are much higher than 50%, and for two of those guys rather than one, for giving away the bird-in-hand of two top 15 guys.
It’s more than 50%… I’m also not sure what we did do has anything to do with the current conversation.
 
There have been multiple teams in the last couple of years who have had multiple top-5 picks yet didn’t draft a player as good as Lauri. It’s not as guaranteed as HH is acting.
 
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