Here's my survey of worldwide factors today.
China is still going, unless somehow pressured out of it, to let Russians participate in the Special Olympics starting tomorrow.
India is sending medical supplies to support Ukraine, but no military supplies. Some reasons, imo, are contracts for military stuff from Russia, and Ukraine as well.
While Western media propaganda calls support for Ukraine "worldwide", it is lukewarm in some of those supporters. Serbia has pretty good normal relations with Russia, as does Turkey, while both object to annexation of new territories. Like China, Russia has stuff going on all over the world that helps other countries somehow. Nuclear power plant construction, desalination projects mining interests. Globalism is just messy so far as all that goes. And many of those countries have governments that for whatever reason object to the US dominance.
We have weakened ourselves with the debacle in Afghanistan. We have tried to help Iran but can claim no actually benefit for our efforts in global political respects.
As something of an "Old Asia Hand", I expect Xi to help pick the bones of Russia if Putin falls. I mean, I expect military occupation of a large part of Siberia by China. It's prudent, long-term need. Putin needs China more than China needs Putin.
Kazakstan will become a China ally and sell oil to China, like Iran does. China will be a much bigger problem for us.
In the short term, I think Xi still expects Taiwan to join his league, along with Korea. Our hope to ring China with allies and contain it is very much weakened by our diplomatic gaffs in Eastern Europe.
China is still going, unless somehow pressured out of it, to let Russians participate in the Special Olympics starting tomorrow.
India is sending medical supplies to support Ukraine, but no military supplies. Some reasons, imo, are contracts for military stuff from Russia, and Ukraine as well.
While Western media propaganda calls support for Ukraine "worldwide", it is lukewarm in some of those supporters. Serbia has pretty good normal relations with Russia, as does Turkey, while both object to annexation of new territories. Like China, Russia has stuff going on all over the world that helps other countries somehow. Nuclear power plant construction, desalination projects mining interests. Globalism is just messy so far as all that goes. And many of those countries have governments that for whatever reason object to the US dominance.
We have weakened ourselves with the debacle in Afghanistan. We have tried to help Iran but can claim no actually benefit for our efforts in global political respects.
As something of an "Old Asia Hand", I expect Xi to help pick the bones of Russia if Putin falls. I mean, I expect military occupation of a large part of Siberia by China. It's prudent, long-term need. Putin needs China more than China needs Putin.
Kazakstan will become a China ally and sell oil to China, like Iran does. China will be a much bigger problem for us.
In the short term, I think Xi still expects Taiwan to join his league, along with Korea. Our hope to ring China with allies and contain it is very much weakened by our diplomatic gaffs in Eastern Europe.
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