Examine the models to understand this, I do not owe you anything. Just use Google to understand the modeling behind the various estimates. I found several studies estimating degree of spread in the United States last night. I don't understand why you can't. Some of the articles I already posted included the assumptions behind certain models. Other models the CDC will not discuss. I will not help you.
Do you know what the basic assumption was behind the highest infection totals suggested for the United States? I do, and, if you did, you would actually be relieved when you realized what that basic assumption was. But you are just yanking my chain. You know that. I know that. So, of course I will not help you, although here, in a moment of weakness, lol, I just gave you a clue. And it's spelled right out, the assumption underlying the model projecting the highest American totals, in at least one of the articles I posted earlier. There, another clue. Far more than you deserve.
Earlier in this thread, you directed the same question to everyone, and you ended it by saying "serious question". Do you realize by adding "serious question", you were actually acknowledging that you know many members here regard you as a troll? That's a classic tell on your part. You added "serious question" because you know many do not take you seriously. I wonder why? Well, no, I don't, and apparently, neither do you.
Seems to me I stand an excellent chance of dying if I contract the coronavirus, since I have four high risk factors. My wife would also stand a good chance of dying, since she has two high risk factors. This comment by you is among the dumbest, and most unbelievable, as in who would possibly believe this, that you have made so far. I do not want to die. I do not want my wife to die. I do not want untold numbers of Americans to die. Spreading unnecessary panic? The more people take this VERY seriously, the more people will act responsibly and maintain safe social distancing, for example.
That you would think anti-Trumpers are salivating at the prospect of so many Americans dying actually shows what a sick, sick, sick dude you really are. You ought to be ashamed of yourself.