They think of George like we think of Hayward. And they like Al, but don't want Hibbert and Jefferson paired.
Everyone agrees KLove is a great passer. Yet on Minnesota, he averaged 2.5 last year. That's much better than Al's 1.8. My argument would be Love should be leading the league in assists at the 4. But Minnesota was 25th in assists last year. 24th the year before, 17th before that, and 26th the year before that. They don't get a lot of assisted baskets on that team.
I don't expect Al to ever become a great passer. But I don't care if he isn't so long as he's a willing passer who can play in a system. For what it's worth, I would point out that in February, Al averaged 24, 11.5, and 2.2 assists shooting 53. He tailed off during the swan song of March, but averaged 3.6 assists in that span of 7 games. If Al was the type of guy trying to beef his numbers in a lost season, I would not expect him to suddenly juice his assist totals.
What gets lost in all this is his skill as a post player. Marc Gasol will never average 23 and 11 for 2 months of any season he ever plays in. He doesn't have Al's skill, and 99% of NBA 4's don't. Al has a killer pump fake, he can go left on the up and under, he can go right with the push shot, and his 14-16 foot jumper is more than respectable. I don't worry about his passing, I worry that the Jazz don't make his setting up lower on the block a priority. If Al is catching the ball 10 feet or in, he can be a flat out machine in the league.
Good post. And I agree with Jefferson's offensive game. It's almost unmatched at the 4 in this league. But again, he needs too show me much more. For a guy with that much size and length and promise (look at past rebounding numbers), I need to see a difference this year. If he comes in a little trimmer and lighter, yet stronger and in noticeably better shape, I'll be stoked. That could or at least should mean only great things for him.
My goals for him this year are 19.0+ ppg on 51.2%+, 10.3+ rebounds, 2.1+ assists, and 1.8+ blocks with a free throw percentage somewhere near his career high from last year. Those numbers aren't overwhelming but I expect him to get 3-5 less minutes per game with Favors playing more and Okur coming back. Most importantly to me is his conditioning, offensive efficiency, overall defensive play, passing, and leadership. I'd like to see him make solid improvements in all areas. Not leaps, just solid improvements as he begins to head into what could or should be the peak of his career for the next 3-5 years. If he can do that, I'm sold on him.
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Which free agents do you like? I guess I'm not sold on the Millsap = SF plan, and I'd like Hayward to play more 2 than 3. And I don't want to bring Miles back (sign & trade would be best). I have mixed feelings about AK. So there's a hole at SF which I'd like to fill with a quality FA using the MLE (without knowing the new CBA, it's hard to predict what will be allowed... but there will likely be something like the MLE).
He averaged only 0.89 points per possession in post ups (this includes points from free throws), which is right around league average in post up situations, and well below league average for overall points per possession. Additionally, since his passes out of the post rarely lead to better shots for his teammates (they all too often require the Jazz to reset the offense with little time left on the shot clock), these post up opportunities are even less effective.I would love to see his efficiency totals when he catches the ball at 8 feet. He's flat out unguardable that close.
He averaged only 0.89 points per possession in post ups (this includes points from free throws), which is right around league average in post up situations, and well below league average for overall points per possession. Additionally, since his passes out of the post rarely lead to better shots for his teammates (they all too often require the Jazz to reset the offense with little time left on the shot clock), these post up opportunities are even less effective.
But the myth of Al's magical low post ability will live on indefinitely...
You never paddled me the first time. Stop living in 1974. If the low post is used effectively to open up the floor for other players, draw fouls, and put pressure on the defense, it's fine. The low post has not been an efficient place to get points absent these considerations in years for all but a handful of players, Jefferson included. Unfortunately, not only has Al never shown an ability to make his teammates better, he's been a perfect example of a player that makes his teammates worse throughout his career. On offense, all he sees is the ball and the basket, on defense all he sees is his man, and he's in no hurry to get up or down the court. All the data points to these statements being true. Very little data supports the converse being true.Do I need to break out your own statistics and paddle you again? Al put up numbers that were right in line with Gasol, Randolph, and several of the premier 4's. Your silly stat lists guys like Barnagni as an elite post scorer. So if Gasol and Randolph are average post players, then I guess Al is, too.
You never paddled me the first time. Stop living in 1974. If the low post is used effectively to open up the floor for other players, draw fouls, and put pressure on the defense, it's fine. The low post has not been an efficient place to get points absent these considerations in years for all but a handful of players, Jefferson included. Unfortunately, not only has Al never shown an ability to make his teammates better, he's been a perfect example of a player that makes his teammates worse throughout his career. On offense, all he sees is the ball and the basket, on defense all he sees is his man, and he's in no hurry to get up or down the court. All the data points to these statements being true. Very little data supports the converse being true.
If he comes back in piss poor shape again, and sucks through the first half of the season, what then?
Cue the "you can ignore 7 years of evidence in favor of a good two month stretch" and "I watched him more than you, therefore I'm right and you're wrong" ********.Nice dodge on the stats. I've read this rant before. Cue the TS% and adj. +/- stats response to extrapolate conclusions based on a player you, by your own admission, rarely saw during his 2 month stretch at the end of last season. And repeat.
and Pau Gasol? Give me a ****ing break. Without even considering his elite team play, the dude averages 1.05 points per possession. Jefferson comes in at 0.99, which represents a pretty damn significant dropoff (Pau's also superior in postups).
And my point isn't that he's terrible, it's that he's not nearly as good as many seem to think he is. He's far from elite at anything. He's not good enough to build a team around, and if Favors and Kanter develop, he's probably the fourth best big man on the Jazz roster, while getting paid at least twice as much as the three better than him.
Cue the "you can ignore 7 years of evidence in favor of a good two month stretch" and "I watched him more than you, therefore I'm right and you're wrong" ********.
Have you ever considered that his stretch of good play at the end of last season, and not his play the 7 season prior, was the aberration?
That was in postup situations only, I think. My above post is for all possessions. Regardless, the two are on completely different levels as players. Pau is head and shoulders above Jefferson as an NBA player. The comparison is stupid.According to your previous list, Gasol is .91. Al is .89. Randolph .90. KLove .91. Howard .93.
PER says very little about team and transition play (and rewards volume), and thus oversells Jefferson's contributions. Since he's roughly average scoring the basketball, what else does he bring to the table to help his team and teammates win basketball games?In 07/08, Al averaged 21 and 11 with a 22.8 PER playing all 82 games.
In 08/09, Al was averaging 23 and 11 with a 23.1 PER in the 50 games before he got hurt.
But I guess that "stretch" of 132 games doesn't count. Let me guess: The TWolves lost which means he was hurting the team with his performance.