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Lottery Standings

Avery said:
Good night so far with the Nets, Raptors and Pistons all down by double-digits. Lakers are without Bryant and by god, that's a good thing.
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Even without Kobe, it's hard to see GS beating the Lakers. BUT, even in the tankfest, I have to believe that every team wants to beat the Lakers. If the Warriors hang in there a while, I'd like to think they have some chance.

Am I just being a draft-pick homer? Maybe, but Accuscore gives the Warriors a 34% chance. I've seen worse.
 
theNBAnerd said:
tonight's gsw-related rooting guide (home team asterisked):

sixers over cavs* - check
hawks* over pistons check
heat* over raptors - check
knicks over nets* - check
grizz* over hornets - almost check (21 pt lead in 4th)
spurs over kings*
warriors* over lakers (hey, i can dream...)
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so far so good.

also, one can hope that being on national TV will remind the warriors that they can't blatantly tank tonight. maybe they'll at least try and lose by 15 instead of mailing it in and losing by 37.
 
theNBAnerd said:
so far so good.

also, one can hope that being on national TV will remind the warriors that they can't blatantly tank tonight. maybe they'll at least try and lose by 15 instead of mailing it in and losing by 37.
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I'm just hoping they accidentally win against New Orleans or vs. SA when the Spurs rest all their starters. Naw, check that...the 10th-14th players on the Spurs' roster are good enough to win over the Warriors...even if the W's were actually trying!
 
davidbenoit said:
That's not true. The still have a significant chance to keep their pick (top 3 protected). And winning just one game could bump them up several spots, dramatically reducing their chance to keep the pick.
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Washington, Hornets, Charlotte will be the 3 worst records. You're right in the sense that the probability they GET the 3rd pick is improved.
The other reason NJ doesn't want to lose is so that they can convince Deron that they're a winnin.............nevermind, you're right.
 
davidbenoit said:
I got 26.9%
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This is the wierdest thing, I calculated 29.2% chance that they get bumped by adding up the percentages that 8-14 have of getting picks 1,2, or 3.
Wiki says that the odds that 7th gets bumped to 8th is 23.2% and 1.8% that they get bumped to 9th.

You got something else.....I'm missing something
 
The problem here is that New Jersey and Toronto are already tied with GSW in the win column......and they play each other on the last day of the season. That means that, assuming the Warriors manage to lose all of their remaining games, either the Nets or Raptors will slip past the Warriors in the standings. It's likely that GSW would be tied for 6th worst record with whichever team loses the NJ/Tor game. it would obviously help tremendously if the Warriors could pick up one more win. The game against the T'wolves seems like the best chance, along with the game against NOH.
 
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