Rational CoViD-19 Discussion Thread: Science vs. Politics

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by babe, Mar 17, 2020.

  1. One Brow

    One Brow Well-Known Member

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    Flu normally declines in March-April. However, I agree there are probably cases of covid19 diagnosed as flu, and vice-versa.
     
  2. babe

    babe Well-Known Member

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    Normal incidence stats have some degree of symmetry on the rates as they rise then fall. If you see an abnormal pattern, it's reasonable to explore or study or research for an explanation.

    I'm have no doubts that without a diagnostic test, between illnesses sharing some significant common symptoms our guesses will normally distribute with some equal trends for wrong guesses one way or the other,

    If, without some reason, all the "guesses" go the same way, I suppose it may be more popular to have the one getting the attributions...… but it is actually a perverse incentive existing in more doctors wanting to plump the charges or get a gov payout for the "right" attribution, to choose to call it something that pays better. No doubt this is some trend in the covid stats, pretty hard to evaluate without authority to check the records and test the former patients for antibodies. But a serious epidemiologist doing a competent research project would do something capable of quantifying the behavior/reports. The fact that our gov will not fund such research is a proof of a deliberate political intent to maintain a falsehood.
    for whatever reason.
     
  3. One Brow

    One Brow Well-Known Member

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    Not if they are unknown and highly contagious. You'd expect a large degree of left-skewing.
     
  4. Scat

    Scat Well-Known Member

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    It's not. The difference is that we don't spend 5 trillion dollars and shut down the country for the flu.
     
  5. One Brow

    One Brow Well-Known Member

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    Flu has not killed as many people over any two consecutive years in the past 20 as covid19 has in the past two months.
     
  6. fishonjazz

    fishonjazz Well-Known Member Contributor 2019 Award Winner 2018 Award Winner

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    There are other differences. The entire world (not just the US) is recognizing that this isn't the flu.
    This is killing way more people in the world than the flu does in any year (and it's only been around for a few months rather than a year) and that's even with the measures that have been employed.
    There is no vaccine for covid19.

    Those are a few off the top of my head. I'm sure there are more differences.


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